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Model picks & player props
Dallas Stars
VS
New Jersey Devils

Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Prudential Center, New Jersey
Indoor
Thu 4 Dec 2025, 12:00AM
1
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 10.5 (Total Goals)
For Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils (NHL), model win probability 98.6%, fair odds 1.01, book price -5000, model edge +1.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Thu 4 Dec 2025, 12:00AM at Prudential Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Goals
Under
10.5
-5000
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Stars

  • Arttu Hyry RWOut
  • Roope Hintz COut
  • Tyler Seguin COut
  • Nils Lundkvist DOut

New Jersey Devils

  • Arseny Gritsyuk RWOut
  • Evan Rodrigues COut
  • Jonas Siegenthaler DOut
  • Brett Pesce DOut
  • Luke Hughes DOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 6:06PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jacob Markstrom New Jersey Devils Saves 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans New Jersey DevilsNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ New Jersey Devils moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineNew Jersey Devils +1.5No line posted

Dallas Stars @ New Jersey Devils puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ New Jersey Devils total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Dallas Stars @ New Jersey Devils — model preview

<p>Deep dive into New Jersey Devils vs Dallas Stars hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Jacob Markstrom. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, New Jersey Devils vs Dallas Stars stats and odds.</p>

Jacob Markstrom (New Jersey Devils) Over 21.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data supports the bet on Jacob Markstrom to have over 21.5 saves in the upcoming game against the Dallas Stars. Markstrom's performance in his last five home games shows a strong trend, averaging 23.4 saves per game, which is higher than the proposed line. His overall saves average in the last five games also stands above the line at 24.2. Furthermore, Markstrom has a current hit streak of 1, which suggests that he is in form. Finally, his hit rate over the last 13 home games is at 9/13, indicating that he has surpassed this line in the majority of his recent games. Based on these statistics, the model predicts Markstrom to make around 24.78 saves in this game, further substantiating the bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Thursday 4 December 2025 at Prudential Center. The model has generated 1 game pick and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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