Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction and Picks, August 28, 2026

The odds for the Miami Marlins to win by at least two runs are looking good at +114. They've been solid at home, winning 42 games, and they've won 5 of their last 10 matchups. The Nationals have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games and trailing by about 1.4 runs in their last 12 games. The hitting numbers show the Marlins haven't fared as well against left-handed pitchers this season, while the Nationals have been better in that matchup. However, the close nature of their recent performances makes this a tricky bet. The Marlins need to keep their lead, but if they can take advantage of the Nationals' struggles, they have a real chance to cover the spread.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins: Over 8.5 Total Runs (-101)

At Nationals Park, the Washington Nationals are facing the Miami Marlins, and both teams have had their ups and downs lately. The Nationals have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, but they've hit well against left-handed pitchers this year. They average nearly 0.8 runs more than the league against lefties, which could help them score some runs today. On the other hand, the Marlins have been solid at home with a record of 42 wins and 27 losses. While they've done okay lately, their hitters haven't shone against lefties like the Nationals have. With the combined total expected to be around 10 runs, betting on over 8.5 runs seems like a solid move. Just remember, the Nationals have been trailing by about 1.4 runs in recent games, which could make things tight.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins: Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-137)

Otto Lopez has been pretty hit or miss lately, recording anywhere from 0 to 2 total bases in his last 10 games. The Washington Nationals haven't been great overall, winning just 2 of their last 10 games, and they tend to struggle at the plate, scoring 1.4 runs behind their opponents in recent matchups. The Miami Marlins are better at home and have a solid record there, which could make things tricky for Lopez. Plus, the Marlins have been decent against left-handed pitchers, but Lopez's recent form makes this bet feel like a smart move. There's a real chance he might not get over 1.5 total bases tonight.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins: Jackson Kent Under 4.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (-164)

For tonight's game, we're looking at Jackson Kent getting under 4.5 strikeouts against the Miami Marlins. Kent has faced varying numbers of batters lately, but his strikeouts have been pretty low, averaging around 3 in his last few games. Plus, the Marlins have been decent at making contact, not striking out too much against pitchers like him. The Nationals have struggled overall, winning just 2 out of their last 10 games. While Kent has shown he can limit runs, the risk here is that the Marlins are hitting well against lefties, which means they might not give Kent too many chances to rack up those strikeouts. It's a tight matchup, but we're leaning towards him staying under that number tonight.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins: Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-172)

The Nationals have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. They often fall behind early, averaging 1.4 runs down after a game. Kyle Stowers has been up and down, showing a mixed bag of performances, with his total bases ranging from none to a maximum of just 4 in his last 10 games. The Marlins are better at home and have a solid record against left-handed pitchers, while Stowers has not been consistently hitting well. The matchup feels pretty close, but Stowers may not hit enough to reach over 1.5 total bases today. The risk here is that he could surprise us, but recent trends suggest he might struggle again.

That is our read — no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.