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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Esteury Ruiz is Under 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +7.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 2, 2:18AM UTC
MLB

Esteury Ruiz

MIA

+7.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 1.5 -500 (1.20)
+7.8% Edge
Miami Marlins @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug, 5:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
91.1%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+7.8%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored91.1%83.3%1.10+7.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Esteury Ruiz (MIA) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Mets play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Esteury Ruiz (MIA) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-500). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

3 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 -238
50%hit L10
L2070%

Esteury Ruiz MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at -238.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 -500
80%hit L10
Streak2L2090%

Esteury Ruiz MLB runs scored: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at -500.

Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 -667
100%hit L10
Streak332L20100%

Esteury Ruiz MLB stolen bases: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at -667.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.510%

Esteury Ruiz MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Esteury Ruiz MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.530%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%

Esteury Ruiz MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Esteury Ruiz MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Esteury Ruiz MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +117 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Esteury Ruiz is Under 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.8% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs New York Mets on Sunday 2 August at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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