Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 5.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Keep your eye on the ball, folks. We're looking at Scottie Barnes' assist record, and the numbers speak for themselves. Scottie's been averaging 4.4 assists overall in the last five games, with the same figure on his home turf. While he's been slightly more generous against the Spurs, dishing out an average of 6 assists, that's still under the wire when he's playing on his own court, where the average drops to 6.5. Our model's predicting a score of 4.34 assists for Scottie in this game, well under the 5.5 needed to tip the scales. And with a 63.3% implied probability of this happening? It's a bet worth considering. So, if you're a betting man, it's worth taking a punt on Scottie Barnes falling under 5.5 assists in the Raptors vs Spurs showdown on February 26. Remember folks, it's all about playing the numbers

Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) Under 1.5 Steals (-270)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs hit the road to face off against the Toronto Raptors this Thursday, all eyes are on Stephon Castle's steal numbers. While the Spurs man is known for his defensive prowess, recent games suggest a downtrend in his steals, making an Under 1.5 bet on Castle's steals a tempting proposition. The numbers don't lie - Castle's expected stat value stands at a below-par 0.89, while his Under 1.5 steals bet has been on the money in his last 8 away games. We're looking at a player who's been struggling to notch up those steal numbers on the road. Plus, it's worth noting that the implied probability of his Under 1.5 steals hitting is a whopping 73%. So, if you're in for some Thursday night NBA action, it might be worth placing your chips on Castle swiping less than 1.5 times against the Raptors.

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