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Model picks & player props
Vegas Golden Knights
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 1:15PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Sat 24 Jan 2026, 12:00AM
5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 Spread -217

The model graded 5 markets for Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $146 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 24 Jan 2026, 12:00AM at Scotiabank Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win77.1%
The price says68.5%
Best price-217
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 High77% chance -217
Moneyline Lean56% chance —
Puck Lines High99% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs last met on Sat 24 Jan 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs
+1.5
-217
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Vegas Golden KnightsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Vegas Golden Knights

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Chris Tanev DOut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut
Availability updated Sep 5, 3:52PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Chris Tanev, Max Domi and Dakota Joshua.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Vegas Golden KnightsNo line posted

Vegas Golden Knights @ Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted

Vegas Golden Knights @ Toronto Maple Leafs puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Vegas Golden Knights @ Toronto Maple Leafs total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Vegas Golden Knights @ Toronto Maple Leafs — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent results

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 0 of their last 5 games; Vegas Golden Knights have won 1 of their last 5.

Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3OTTAway
L5–6DALHome
L2–6FLAHome
L3–5NYIAway
L0–4WSHHome
Vegas Golden Knights — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–3CARHome
L2–4CARAway
L3–5CARHome
W5–4CARHome
L3–4CARAway

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Toronto Maple Leafs won 0, Vegas Golden Knights won 2.

DateToronto Maple LeafsVegas Golden KnightsWinner
Jan 2436Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 1656Vegas Golden Knights

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Chris Tanev DOUT
Max Domi COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Vegas Golden Knights @ Toronto Maple Leafs — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Toronto Maple Leafs playing Vegas Golden Knights. Featuring picks like NA props. Analysis includes same game parlay, SGP picks, NHL parlay odds, hockey parlay.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights : Toronto Maple Leafs +4.5 (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The rationale behind betting on the Toronto Maple Leafs with a 4.5 goal spread is rooted in their recent performance data and the model's predictions. Despite the Maple Leafs' recent struggle, with a 1-4 record in their last 5 home games, their goals-against average is 2.6, indicating a robust defense that can limit the Golden Knights' scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 away games, which could be further limited by the Leafs' defense. The model's prediction of 0.06, with a standard deviation of 1.55, suggests a low-scoring game. This outcome makes the 4.5 goal spread more viable, as it indicates that the Leafs are unlikely to lose by a wide margin. The Maple Leafs' potential to perform better defensively than Vegas can offensively is the key factor in this betting decision.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Knights vs Leafs, or as Leafs vs Knights. The most recent game between them was Saturday 24 January 2026 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Vegas Golden Knights 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
24 Jan 2026Vegas Golden Knights @ Toronto Maple Leafs3–6Vegas Golden Knights
16 Jan 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vegas Golden Knights6–5Vegas Golden Knights
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