Here are our MLS picks for Tuesday 29 September 2026. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Robert Voloder (New York Red Bulls) Over 0.5 Shots, priced at +230 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Robert Voloder (New York Red Bulls) Over 0.5 Shots (+230)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
In the upcoming clash between the New York Red Bulls and St. Louis City SC, Robert Voloder presents a compelling case for the Over 0.5 total shots market. While his recent numbers show that he hasn't been prolific, it’s essential to consider the context. Playing at home often sparks a player’s confidence, and with the Red Bulls pushing for dominance, Voloder is likely to find himself in more attacking positions. St. Louis, known for their aggressive playstyle, could open up spaces that Voloder can exploit. Even though his average shots at home sit at a modest 0.2, that home advantage can be a game-changer. With a solid 16.3% model edge suggesting he’s due for a shot, the odds of hitting the Over on this line feel enticing. Expect Voloder to take advantage of the opportunities and add to the excitement on home turf.
Robert Voloder (New York Red Bulls) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+850)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the New York Red Bulls gear up to face St. Louis City SC, all eyes should be on Robert Voloder, particularly in the shots on target market. While his recent numbers might not jump off the page—averaging just 0.2 shots at home—this matchup presents a golden opportunity. The Red Bulls are known for their aggressive playstyle, and with St. Louis's defensive vulnerabilities, Voloder could find himself in key positions to test the goalkeeper. The model’s prediction of 0.11 shots on target might seem low, but the edge of over 15% suggests that this is an undervalued line. Given that Voloder is likely to step up in a home setting where the crowd's energy can be electrifying, we might just see that elusive shot on target. With the right buildup play, he could easily clip over that 0.5 mark, making this a promising bet for avid followers of the game!
Robert Voloder (New York Red Bulls) Over 1.5 Shots (+1800)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the New York Red Bulls gear up to face St. Louis City SC, all eyes should be on Robert Voloder. While his recent shot average may not dazzle at first glance—just 0.2 shots at home—there's potential brewing beneath the surface. This matchup promises to be dynamic, especially with St. Louis's tendency to leave space on the flanks. Voloder's versatility could see him pushing forward more than usual. Moreover, with the Red Bulls' attacking style at home, it’s likely he’ll be involved in more offensive plays. The odds favor a shift in his fortunes, and betting on him to exceed 1.5 shots feels like a strategic play. The game environment is ripe for a breakout, and with the right opportunities, he could easily surpass that line. Look for Voloder to capitalize on the chances that come his way—this could be his moment to shine.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
When looking at Emir Karic in the context of the upcoming showdown between Sporting Kansas City and the Seattle Sounders, it’s hard to ignore the potential for him to break out of his recent slump. While his numbers have been less than stellar—averaging just 0.2 shots overall and none away—this matchup could provide a different narrative. The Sounders are known for their attacking intensity, which may push Karic into more advanced positions, especially as Sporting Kansas seeks to exploit any defensive gaps. With a model suggesting a slight edge for him to land over 1.5 shots, and given Seattle's penchant for allowing chances, this could be the perfect moment for Karic to turn things around. Sometimes, a player’s form can shift dramatically with the right circumstances, and this match might just set the stage for a resurgence. Betting on Karic to take at least two shots feels like a calculated gamble worth taking.
Emir Karic (Sporting Kansas City) Over 0.5 Shots (+145)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
When it comes to player prop bets, Emir Karic is an intriguing option for the matchup against Seattle Sounders. Although his recent form shows a modest average of 0.2 shots overall, he's managed to find the net in his last outing, suggesting a resurgence of confidence. Playing away might be daunting, but Karic’s persistent threat in the attack gives him a chance to defy the odds. The Sounders are known for their aggressive playstyle, which could create openings for Karic, especially if he finds himself in the right positions. With the implied probability sitting at 40.8%, there's a subtle belief that he can break through the barrier of 0.5 shots. Given his current hit streak, it seems he’s gradually finding his rhythm. This could be the game where he takes advantage of Seattle's pressure and finally adds to his shot tally. Keep an eye on him to surprise us!
That is the model's read on today's MLS card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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