On September 12, 2026 our model has run Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jorge Mateo (BAL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-385), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Cam Smith (HOU) Under 0.5 Hits (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cam Smith (HOU) Under 0.5 Hits (-111). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.01 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jorge Mateo (BAL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-385)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jorge Mateo (BAL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-385). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Yordan Alvarez (HOU) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros: Houston Astros +1 (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros: Houston Astros +1 (-125). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros: Houston Astros +1.5 (-167)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros: Houston Astros +1.5 (-167). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros: Houston Astros -1 (+160)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros: Houston Astros -1 (+160). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at +160 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article