Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks, November 1, 2026

The odds for Bucky Irving to rush for over 69.5 yards look pretty solid. Both the Buccaneers and Falcons have struggled with their passing game lately, and teams are finding more success on the ground. In fact, the Buccaneers had a better running game last season, and Irving seems to be a key part of that. This could make it tougher for Irving to find space. Still, with both teams leaning more on their running games, it feels like a good spot for him to break through.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons: Tez Johnson Under 32.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Tez Johnson has been facing a tough time lately, especially with the Buccaneers leaning more on their running game instead of the pass. They have struggled to get their passing game going, and that shows in how often their quarterback has seen extra rushers. With the Falcons also using a run-heavy approach, it's likely that Johnson won't get many opportunities to rack up yards through the air. Betting on him to get under 32.5 receiving yards feels like a solid choice. The Buccaneers' offense isn't set up to take full advantage of his skills right now. Both teams are relying on the ground game, and that could limit Johnson's chances. However, the biggest risk is that both teams have quarterbacks who face a lot of pressure, which can lead to unexpected plays.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons: Baker Mayfield Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-109)

For this bet to work, Baker Mayfield needs to rush for under 15.5 yards. Given the way Tampa Bay's offense has performed, this seems likely. In the last season, they leaned more on their running game, which means Baker might not run much himself. Plus, he faced extra pressure on a good number of his plays, making it harder for him to break off big runs. On the other side, Atlanta's defense is also good at putting pressure on the quarterback. Mayfield has seen extra rushers a lot, and that could lead to him taking fewer chances on the ground. While he might scramble a bit, the risk is that both teams are good at stopping the run, so there's a chance he might not get many rushing yards at all.

That is our read - no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.