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Model picks & player props
Leeds United
VS
Liverpool

Leeds United vs Liverpool Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 3:50PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Anfield, Liverpool
Outdoor
Thu 1 Jan 2026, 5:30PM
7
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Liverpool (Moneyline)
The model graded 7 markets for Leeds United vs Liverpool (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $151 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 83.5%, fair odds 1.20, book price -196, model edge +17.3%. Tip-off Thu 1 Jan 2026, 5:30PM at Anfield.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
No · $100 returned $215

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Liverpool
-196
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
LiverpoolHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LiverpoolHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LiverpoolDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Liverpool

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Leeds United vs Liverpool: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLeeds United @ LiverpoolNo line posted
4-1-1past meetings (last 6)
Draw22%Home form13-5-2Away form3-5-12
past meetings, home wins4 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreLeeds United @ LiverpoolNo line posted
60%both teams score %
4 / 6past meetings, both scored
Liverpool65%Leeds Unit70%
past meetings, both scored4 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 65% of Liverpool's and 70% of Leeds United's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsLeeds United @ LiverpoolNo line posted
77%model over %
5 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg4.7
past meetings, over 2.55 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 4.7 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them; the model prices Over at 77% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Leeds United @ Liverpool — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Leeds United at Liverpool — 7 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Leeds United @ Liverpool — model preview

Unlock potential winning soccer bets for Liverpool playing Leeds United. Includes analysis on key players like Hugo Ekitike. Analysis includes EPL predictions, EPL game picks, soccer betting preview, Liverpool vs Leeds United stats and odds.

Hugo Ekitike (Eintracht Frankfurt) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Hugo Ekitike's performance data suggests a solid rationale for a Yes bet in the Anytime Goalscorer market. Despite a low overall average of 0.2 goals in his last five games, Ekitike's away goal average doubles to 0.6, indicating a stronger scoring propensity when playing away. This is further supported by his increased shots average of 4 in away games, compared to an overall average of 3. Crucially, his shots on target also increase significantly in away games to 1.6, almost tripling his overall average of 0.6. This demonstrates a higher accuracy in his attempts when playing away. Although his current hit streak is zero, his away game performance suggests a potential for scoring. Therefore, Ekitike's enhanced away performance in terms of both attempts and accuracy provides a data-driven basis for betting on him as an anytime goalscorer.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
01 Jan 26 Moneyline Liverpool ✗ MISS
01 Jan 26 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT
01 Jan 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Liverpool ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Leeds United vs Liverpool in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Thursday 1 January 2026 at Anfield. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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