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Model picks & player props
Leeds United
VS
Liverpool

Leeds United vs Liverpool Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 6:45PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Anfield, Liverpool
Outdoor
Thu 1 Jan 2026, 5:30PM
7
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Liverpool Moneyline -196

The model graded 7 markets for Leeds United vs Liverpool (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $151 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 1 Jan 2026, 5:30PM at Anfield.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win83.5%
The price says66.2%
Best price-196
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Liverpool High83% chance -196
Head to Head (3-Way) High83% chance —
Draw No Bet High89% chance —
Both Teams to Score Lean48% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
No · $100 returned $215

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 34 of 77 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Frosinone
Frosinone @ Fiorentina
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $420
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Liverpool
-196
+ 6 more markets
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All 7 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
LiverpoolMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LiverpoolHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LiverpoolDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Liverpool

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Leeds United vs Liverpool: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLeeds United @ LiverpoolNo line posted
4-1-1past meetings (last 6)
Draw22%Home form13-5-2Away form3-5-12
past meetings, home wins4 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreLeeds United @ LiverpoolNo line posted
60%both teams score %
4 / 6past meetings, both scored
Liverpool65%Leeds Unit70%
past meetings, both scored4 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 65% of Liverpool's and 70% of Leeds United's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsLeeds United @ LiverpoolNo line posted
77%model over %
5 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg4.7
past meetings, over 2.55 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 4.7 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them; the model prices Over at 77% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Leeds United @ Liverpool — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Leeds United at Liverpool — 7 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Leeds United @ Liverpool — model preview

Unlock potential winning soccer bets for Liverpool playing Leeds United. Includes analysis on key players like Hugo Ekitike. Analysis includes EPL predictions, EPL game picks, soccer betting preview, Liverpool vs Leeds United stats and odds.

Hugo Ekitike (Eintracht Frankfurt) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Hugo Ekitike's performance data suggests a solid rationale for a Yes bet in the Anytime Goalscorer market. Despite a low overall average of 0.2 goals in his last five games, Ekitike's away goal average doubles to 0.6, indicating a stronger scoring propensity when playing away. This is further supported by his increased shots average of 4 in away games, compared to an overall average of 3. Crucially, his shots on target also increase significantly in away games to 1.6, almost tripling his overall average of 0.6. This demonstrates a higher accuracy in his attempts when playing away. Although his current hit streak is zero, his away game performance suggests a potential for scoring. Therefore, Ekitike's enhanced away performance in terms of both attempts and accuracy provides a data-driven basis for betting on him as an anytime goalscorer.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
01 Jan 26 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Leeds United vs Liverpool in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Thursday 1 January 2026 at Anfield. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Liverpool 4–1 across the last 8 meetings · 3 draws · these games average 4.3 goals (meetings on record since 2020)
DateGameScoreWinner
1 Jan 2026Leeds United @ Liverpool0–0Draw
6 Dec 2025Liverpool @ Leeds United3–3Draw
17 Apr 2023Liverpool @ Leeds United1–6Liverpool
29 Oct 2022Leeds United @ Liverpool1–2Leeds United
23 Feb 2022Leeds United @ Liverpool6–0Liverpool
12 Sep 2021Liverpool @ Leeds United0–3Liverpool
19 Apr 2021Liverpool @ Leeds United1–1Draw
12 Sep 2020Leeds United @ Liverpool4–3Liverpool
Today's selected board

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