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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Collins is Yes on To Receive a Red Card.
On To Receive a Red Card, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 4%, implied 2%, edge +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Sep 6, 5:36PM UTC
Soccer

Nathan Collins

Wolverhampton Wanderers

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
To Receive a Red Card Yes +4500 (46.00) · $100→$4,600
+1.3% Edge
Brentford @ Wolverhampton Wanderers
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands · Outdoor
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 48 of 102 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
4 in 100
Predicted
0.0 To Receive a Red Card
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 3.5% · the book's price implies 2.2% · gap +1.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
To Receive a Red Card3.5%2.2%28.45+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan Collins (Brentford) Yes To Receive Red Card (+4500)

Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Nathan Collins to receive a red card in the Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brentford game is based on his recent foul record. Despite having no red cards in his last five games overall and away, Collins has an average of 1.2 fouls committed overall and 1.4 fouls committed in away games. This indicates a consistent pattern of rule-breaking behavior. Although he hasn't received a red card recently, the consistent foul rate suggests it's possible that a more severe infraction could occur, leading to a red card. This, combined with the unpredictability of football, makes this bet a calculated risk worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nathan Collins — 2024 season

Nathan Collins scored 0 goals with 1 assist in 5 Premier League appearances for Brentford in the 2024 season, from 2 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.2.

0
Goals
1
Assists
0.2
xG
2
Shots
0
On target
1
Key passes
5
Apps
370
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nathan Collins (Wolverhampton Wanderers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Collins is Yes on To Receive a Red Card. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brentford vs Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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