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Soccer

Nathan Collins

Burnley

Value call

Nathan Collins (Burnley) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
5 in 100
Predicted
0.9 shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 5.1% · before adjusting for past results 7.0% · the book's price implies 4.3% · gap +0.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brentford @ Brighton and Hove Albion
Sun 8 Nov, 2:00 PM UK time
Nathan Collins
over 2.5 shots
Shots Over 2.5 +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 5 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$230.00 Odds+2200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Collins is Over 2.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 5 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 5%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 5:00AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots7.0%5.1%4.3%19.45+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan Collins (Brentford) Over 2.5 Shots (+2200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Nathan Collins steps onto the pitch for Brentford’s clash against Brighton, the stage is set for him to make a mark. While his recent average of 1.2 shots per game may seem modest, the away fixture against a Brighton side that often allows for attacking opportunities could be a game-changer. Historically, Collins has shown a slight uptick with 0.8 shots away from home, but this match could see him push those numbers higher. Brighton's defensive style tends to invite pressure, and with Brentford likely to utilize Collins in an advanced role, we could see him stretch that average. The 2.5 total shots line feels attainable, especially considering Brentford's attacking intent to secure points on the road. This matchup presents the perfect storm for Collins to assert himself; expect him to rise to the occasion and surpass that threshold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nathan Collins — 2024 season

Nathan Collins scored 0 goals with 1 assist in 5 Premier League appearances for Brentford in the 2024 season, from 2 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.2.

0
Goals
1
Assists
0.2
xG
2
Shots
0
On target
1
Key passes
5
Apps
370
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Brentford @ Brighton and Hove Albion Shots — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nathan Collins (Burnley) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Collins is Over 2.5 on Shots. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brentford vs Brighton and Hove Albion on Sunday 8 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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