On Saturday 3 October 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Nottingham Forest hosts Arsenal, the stage is set for a cagey encounter. Forest has struggled offensively lately, averaging just 0.4 goals at home in their last five, with a dismal xG of zero at the City Ground. Their home record reflects a stark reality: they’ve managed only two goals in five matches while conceding just under one per game. Arsenal, despite their strong away form, have also shown signs of restraint, netting 1.2 goals on average away from home. Their defensive solidity has kept opponents to only 0.8 goals against them in similar fixtures. With both teams exhibiting low-scoring trends, the under 2.5 total goals seems like a compelling bet. Expect a tactical battle where both defenses will likely tighten, leading to a match that may very well end with minimal scoring.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the trends heavily favor a 'No' on the Both Teams to Score market. Forest's recent form at home is concerning; they've managed just 0.4 goals per game, converting a mere 3.6 shots on target during their last five home matches. Meanwhile, their xG stats tell a bleak story—averaging zero expected goals at home suggests they’re struggling to convert opportunities into real threats. On the flip side, Arsenal is in a groove, unbeaten in their last five away matches, scoring 1.2 goals while allowing only 0.8. Their ability to maintain defensive solidity may be the key here. With Forest’s recent struggles and Arsenal’s solid away form, it’s reasonable to expect the Gunners to keep a clean sheet, making the 'No' bet on both teams scoring a tempting prospect for this clash.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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