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NHL

Brayden Point

Tampa Bay Lightning

Value call

Brayden Point (Tampa Bay Lightning) has one live pick today: under 2.5 shots on goal that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
2.3 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.5% · before adjusting for past results 61.2% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap -1.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay, FUT · Indoor
Thu 5 Nov, 7:00 PM ET
Brayden Point
under 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Under 2.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brayden Point is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nhl points overs: 42 of 76 right · +$1,941 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
ir
updated Nov 10, 3:30PM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal61.2%51.5%53.5%1.94+7.7%

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks: Brayden Point Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Brayden Point is facing the Chicago Blackhawks, who have struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. The Blackhawks also block fewer shots than average, which might help Tampa Bay's defense limit Point's chances. While he can score, the Lightning are also playing solid defense and blocking as many shots as the league average. Betting on Brayden Point to have under 2.5 shots on goal looks like a smart choice here. The risk is that Point could still get a few chances, especially if he finds space. However, with the way both teams are performing, it seems likely that he won't hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Brayden Point has 4 goals and 8 assists (12 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
8 Nov 26@ WPG0002005:35
7 Nov 26@ MIN0222021:55
5 Nov 26vs CHI0110019:23
3 Nov 26vs DET2024018:23
31 Oct 26@ NSH0113123:10
29 Oct 26vs WPG1013020:12
24 Oct 26@ UTA1012018:34
23 Oct 26@ COL0223020:50
20 Oct 26@ VGK0001016:39
17 Oct 26vs VAN0220017:06
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Nov 26 Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning Shots on Goal 2.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers Goals 0.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT
03 Nov 26 Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning Shots on Goal — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brayden Point (Tampa Bay Lightning) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brayden Point is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday 5 November at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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