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NHL

Brayden Point

Tampa Bay Lightning

Value call

Brayden Point (Tampa Bay Lightning) has one live pick today: under 0.5 points that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
0.5 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 39.2% · before adjusting for past results 49.1% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap -4.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay, FUT · Indoor
Mon 5 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Brayden Point
under 0.5 points
Points Under 0.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 39 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brayden Point is Under 0.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 39%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 5:46PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points49.1%39.2%43.5%2.55+5.6%

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers: Brayden Point Under 0.5 Points (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Brayden Point to score no points in this game against the Philadelphia Flyers are +130. Our numbers think this is a close call, but with Point's recent form against tough defenses, it leans a bit towards him not getting on the scoreboard today. The Flyers have had a rough time lately, winning just one of their last ten games, which means they might struggle to keep up. Plus, Tampa Bay's strong recent performance with five wins in their last ten gives them a boost on home ice. The biggest risk here is how well Point can perform against Philadelphia's defense, which may surprise us.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Brayden Point has 1 goals and 7 assists (8 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
23 Oct 26@ COL0223020:50
20 Oct 26@ VGK0001016:39
17 Oct 26vs VAN0220017:06
15 Oct 26vs SEA0111118:33
13 Oct 26@ NYR0005020:12
10 Oct 26@ NYI0001018:57
8 Oct 26vs MIN0112017:34
5 Oct 26vs PHI1013018:09
3 Oct 26vs WSH0003020:32
1 Oct 26@ NYR0111022:38
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers Goals 0.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brayden Point (Tampa Bay Lightning) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brayden Point is Under 0.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday 5 October at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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