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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brayden Point is Under 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 80%, the price says 76%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 10:12PM UTC
NHL

Brayden Point

Tampa Bay Lightning

Value call

Brayden Point (Tampa Bay Lightning) has one live pick today: Goals Under 0.5 that pays $131 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Goals Under 0.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
Value call
Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers
Madison Square Garden, New York, FUT · Indoor
Thu 1 Oct, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 79.7% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +3.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals79.7%—76.3%1.26+3.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Brayden Point Under 0.5 Goals (-323)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The New York Rangers have had a bit of a tough time lately, winning only 4 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Lightning are scoring a solid 3.49 goals per game, which is above the league average. However, Brayden Point is a talented player, and his chances of scoring seem lower against a Rangers team that knows how to defend well at home. Betting on Brayden Point to score under 0.5 goals looks like a smart choice. The Rangers have a strong home record and will be focused on stopping the Lightning's offense. The biggest risk here is that the Lightning can sometimes find ways to score, even against strong defenses. But with the Rangers tightening up their play, this bet feels like a solid pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Brayden Point's lines for Thu 1 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Goals 0.5
+215 best over price · 6 booksWent over in 1 of the last 10 games

Brayden Point's goals line is 0.5, best over price +215 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 1 of his last 10 games.

Recent game log

Brayden Point has 1 goals and 3 assists (4 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
13 Apr 26vs DET0112016:13
11 Apr 26@ BOS0111019:21
9 Apr 26@ MTL0001021:22
7 Apr 26@ OTT0004017:33
6 Apr 26@ BUF0112120:11
4 Apr 26vs BOS0000016:56
2 Apr 26vs PIT1013017:59
31 Mar 26vs MTL0005020:32
29 Mar 26vs NSH0004018:06
28 Mar 26vs OTT0000020:44
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brayden Point (Tampa Bay Lightning) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brayden Point is Under 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers on Thursday 1 October at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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