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Model picks & player props
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 5:24PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Indoor
Sat 14 Mar 2026, 11:00PM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 Spread -141

The model graded 4 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $171 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 14 Mar 2026, 11:00PM at KeyBank Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win74.2%
The price says58.5%
Best price-141
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 High74% chance -141
Moneyline High70% chance —
Total Goals High99% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs
+1.5
-141
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Zack MacEwen COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Calle Jarnkrok COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut

Buffalo Sabres

  • Justin Danforth RWOut
  • Jiri Kulich COut
  • Noah Ostlund COut
Availability updated Jul 1, 10:34PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Buffalo SabresNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres — recent results

Buffalo Sabres have won 2 of their last 5 games; Toronto Maple Leafs have won 0 of their last 5.

Buffalo Sabres — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3MTLHome
W8–3MTLAway
L3–6MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–6MTLAway
Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3OTTAway
L5–6DALHome
L2–6FLAHome
L3–5NYIAway
L0–4WSHHome

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Buffalo Sabres won 2, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0.

DateBuffalo SabresToronto Maple LeafsWinner
Mar 1432Buffalo Sabres
Jan 2874Buffalo Sabres

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Buffalo Sabres
PlayerStatus
Justin Danforth RWOUT
Jiri Kulich COUT
Noah Ostlund COUT
Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Zack MacEwen COUT
Max Domi COUT
Calle Jarnkrok COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres — model preview

Winning bets for Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Anthony Stolarz. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs stats and odds.

Anthony Stolarz (Toronto Maple Leafs) Under 25.5 Saves (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Sabres, or as Sabres vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Saturday 14 March 2026 at KeyBank Center. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Buffalo Sabres 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Mar 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres3–2Buffalo Sabres
28 Jan 2026Buffalo Sabres @ Toronto Maple Leafs4–7Buffalo Sabres
Today's selected board

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