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Model picks & player props
NHL
KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Indoor
Sat 14 Mar 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 6 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres and backs Buffalo Sabres hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $198.

6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Buffalo Sabres
to win
Buffalo Sabres Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$19.80Best price-102
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.7%
The price says50.5%

The model graded 6 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $198 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 14 Mar 2026, 7:00 PM ET at KeyBank Center.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Buffalo Sabres High70% chance -102
Spread Members only High74% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High70% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High99% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres last met on Sat 14 Mar 2026: Buffalo Sabres won 3-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Buffalo Sabres
-102
+ 5 more markets
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All 6 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Buffalo SabresMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Buffalo SabresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Chris Tanev DDay-to-day
  • John Tavares COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut

Buffalo Sabres

  • Jason Zucker LWOut
  • Alex Lyon GOut
  • Conor Timmins DOut
  • Topias Leinonen GOut
  • Jack Rathbone DOut
Availability updated Oct 11, 12:12AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Buffalo SabresNo line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G2.4GA/G3.6Shots/G29.4vs Leafs0-4

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G2.8GA/G2.8Shots/G28.8vs Sabres3-2

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres — recent results

Buffalo Sabres have won 2 of their last 5 games; Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5.

Buffalo Sabres — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4UTAHome
L0–4DALHome
W3–2MINHome
W4–3CHIHome
L3–6CBJAway
Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–3COLAway
L3–4VGKAway
W5–4NSHHome
L2–3OTTHome
W2–1NYIHome

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Buffalo Sabres won 2, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0.

DateBuffalo SabresToronto Maple LeafsWinner
Mar 1432Buffalo Sabres
Jan 2874Buffalo Sabres

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Buffalo Sabres
PlayerStatus
Jason Zucker LWOUT
Alex Lyon GOUT
Conor Timmins DOUT
Topias Leinonen GOUT
Jack Rathbone DOUT
Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Chris Tanev DDAY-TO-DAY
John Tavares COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
Elvis Merzlikins GOUT
William Villeneuve DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres — model preview

Winning bets for Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Anthony Stolarz. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs stats and odds.

Anthony Stolarz (Toronto Maple Leafs) Under 25.5 Saves (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Sabres, or as Sabres vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Saturday 14 March 2026 at KeyBank Center. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Buffalo Sabres 2–0 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Sat 14 Mar 2026, Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres: the Sabres won 3-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
14 Mar 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres3–2Buffalo Sabres
28 Jan 2026Buffalo Sabres @ Toronto Maple Leafs4–7Buffalo Sabres

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