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NHL

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Buffalo Sabres

+4.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Saves Over 23.5 -105 (1.95)
+4.3% Edge
Philadelphia Flyers @ Buffalo Sabres
KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Thu 15 Jan, 12:30AM
Model Probability
55.6%
Implied Probability
51.3%
Model Edge
+4.3%
Predicted Value
25.1 Saves

AI Analysis

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Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Buffalo Sabres) Over 23.5 Saves (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen to make over 23.5 saves in the forthcoming game against the Philadelphia Flyers is largely driven by his recent performance data. His L5 home game average of 28.2 saves, well above the betting line, provides a strong indication of his ability to meet the target. Furthermore, his L5 overall average of 29.4 saves suggests consistent performance regardless of the venue. This is further supported by his current hit streaks - 2 at home and 4 overall - indicating a consistent recent trend of achieving high save totals. Additionally, the model prediction of 25.08 saves is in line with these performance stats and comfortably above the line set for the bet. Therefore, based on Luukkonen's recent performance and the model's prediction, the bet for over 23.5 saves seems statistically sound.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Jan 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Buffalo Sabres Saves 23.5 Over -105 ✗ MISS
07 Jan 26 Vancouver Canucks @ Buffalo Sabres Saves 22.5 Over -105 ✓ HIT
02 Dec 25 Winnipeg Jets @ Buffalo Sabres Saves 22.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT

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