Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
Atlanta Falcons
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 19, 9:12PM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers and backs Under 4.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $344.

NFL
Pittsburgh
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 4.5 Alternate Totals Q1 +244

The model graded 70 markets for Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $344 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:00PM at Pittsburgh.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.8%
The price says27.1%
Best price+244
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Totals Q1 Under 4.5 Lean49% chance +244
Alternate Totals Q1 Members only Lean49% chance Members
Spreads Q1 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Alternate Spreads Q1 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Alternate Totals H1 Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Spreads Q2 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Alternate Totals H2 Members only Lean52% chance Members
Alternate Spreads H2 Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 96% Members
Receptions × 3 props Highup to 69% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 72% Members
Pass Attempts × 1 prop Highup to 72% Members
Pass + Rush Yards × 1 prop Highup to 71% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers last met on Sun 13 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Pat Freiermuth Yes · $100 returned $487

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 174 of 355 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 15
Kansas City Chiefs Over 17.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $136
Our call on this game: — members only · unlock tonight's call2 picks on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Totals Q1
Under
5.5
+240
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,510+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersSpreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersSpreads Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta FalconsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta FalconsAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta FalconsAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Atlanta Falcons

  • Chris Lindstrom GQuestionable
  • Billy Bowman Jr. CBOut
  • A.J. Terrell Jr. CBQuestionable
  • Tua Tagovailoa QBDoubtful
  • Michael Penix Jr. QBOut
  • Da'Shawn Hand DTOut
  • Cameron Williams OLOut

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Joey Porter Jr. CBOut
  • Michael Pittman Jr. WROut
  • Troy Fautanu OTQuestionable
  • DeShon Elliott SOut
Availability updated Sep 19, 5:37PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jaylen Warren PIT Rushing Yards (Alt)
Jaylen Warren PIT Receptions
Aaron Rodgers PIT Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers PIT Pass Attempts
Aaron Rodgers PIT Pass + Rush Yards

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineAtlanta Falcons to winNo line posted

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadPittsburgh Steelers spreadNo line posted
7-3Free board · line bets
Last 107-3Home5-1Away2-2
Free board · recent7-3

Pittsburgh Steelers spread — on our free board this call has landed 7 of 10 times, updated every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsFalcons @ SteelersNo line posted

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers — recent results

Pittsburgh Steelers have won 2 of their last 5 games; Atlanta Falcons have won 3 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Steelers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W20–13ATLHome
L27–28BUFAway
L0–17NYJHome
W28–9GBHome
L6–30HOUHome
Atlanta Falcons — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–20PITAway
W17–12MIAAway
W34–6INDAway
L7–27DENHome
W19–17NOHome

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Pittsburgh Steelers won 1, Atlanta Falcons won 0.

DatePittsburgh SteelersAtlanta FalconsWinner
Sep 132013Pittsburgh Steelers

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Steelers
PlayerStatus
Joey Porter Jr. CBOUT
Michael Pittman Jr. WROUT
Troy Fautanu OTQUESTIONABLE
DeShon Elliott SOUT
Atlanta Falcons
PlayerStatus
Chris Lindstrom GQUESTIONABLE
Billy Bowman Jr. CBOUT
A.J. Terrell Jr. CBQUESTIONABLE
Tua Tagovailoa QBDOUBTFUL
Michael Penix Jr. QBOUT
Da'Shawn Hand DTOUT
Cameron Williams OLOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Alternate Spreads H1 Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Spreads Q1 Atlanta Falcons -1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Spreads Q1 Atlanta Falcons -2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Over 18.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Over 17.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spreads Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Spreads Q1 Atlanta Falcons -3.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Team Totals Q1 Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals Q1 Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Spreads H1 Pittsburgh Steelers 0.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Falcons vs Steelers, or as Steelers vs Falcons. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 September 2026 at Pittsburgh. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Pittsburgh Steelers 4–0 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 38.5 points (meetings on record since 2018)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Sep 2026Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers20–13Pittsburgh Steelers
8 Sep 2024Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons10–18Pittsburgh Steelers
4 Dec 2022Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons16–19Pittsburgh Steelers
7 Oct 2018Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers41–17Pittsburgh Steelers

Playing fantasy? NFL fantasy projections for this week — the same model, scored your way.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.