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Model picks & player props
Golden State Warriors
VS
Philadelphia 76ers

Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:21AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Golden State Warriors 2.5 (Point Spread)
For Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers (NBA), model win probability 83.1%, fair odds 1.20, book price -115, model edge +29.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Golden State Warriors
2.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Golden State WarriorsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Golden State WarriorsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Johni Broome FDay-to-day
  • Labaron Philon Jr. GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 9:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsGolden State Warriors @ Philadelphia 76ersNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers and Golden State Warriors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPhiladelphia 76ers spreadNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) meet Golden State Warriors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePhiladelphia 76ers to winNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) host or visit Golden State Warriors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Golden State Warriors @ Philadelphia 76ers — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Philadelphia 76ers vs Golden State Warriors. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Philadelphia 76ers vs Golden State Warriors : Over 197.5 Total Points (-2500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical evidence strongly supports an 'Over 197.5' bet for the 76ers vs Warriors game. Both teams have recently shown great scoring capabilities, with the 76ers averaging 115.6 points and the Warriors with a notable 130.4 points in their last five games. This equals a combined score of 246, significantly higher than the 197.5 threshold. Additionally, the model prediction of 242.4 points also supports this trend. Furthermore, both teams have allowed ample points by opponents: 116.6 by the 76ers and 110 by the Warriors. When the 76ers play at home, they have scored an average of 108.4 points and the Warriors have scored 126.8 points on the road. These stats show a combined average of 235.2 points, again comfortably above the 197.5 point target. Consequently, the statistics indicate a high likelihood of exceeding 197.5 total points.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Golden State Warriors : Golden State Warriors Over 98.5 Team Total Points (-833)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Golden State Warriors Over 98.5' in the Team Total Points market is a sound decision considering the Warriors' recent performance. Over their last five games, the team's overall score averages at 130.4 points, with their away game score slightly lower at 126.8. Both averages significantly exceed the 98.5 point outcome. The Warriors also hold a strong recent record of 4-1 in both overall and away games, suggesting high team performance and adaptability to different courts. Furthermore, the model predicts a score of 126.53 for the Warriors, further strengthening the case for this bet. Therefore, based on their scoring history and recent form, it's statistically likely that the Warriors will score over 98.5 points.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Golden State Warriors : Golden State Warriors win (+114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Golden State Warriors are a strong pick for this matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers, despite the model's prediction. The Warriors have a superior recent performance, as evidenced by their 4-1 record in the last five games, compared to the 76ers' 3-2 record. This trend holds true even when playing away, where the Warriors also boast a 4-1 record. Additionally, the Warriors have consistently outscored the 76ers in the last five games, with an average score of 130.4 to the 76ers' 115.6. Their scoring superiority continues even when they are the visiting team, achieving an average of 126.8 points away compared to the 76ers' home average of 108.4. These statistics indicate that the Warriors are performing more effectively both generally and specifically on the road, hence the bet on them.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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