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MLB

Zack Wheeler

PHI

Value call

Zack Wheeler has one live pick today: over 7.5 strikeouts that pays $400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
29 in 100
Predicted
6.2 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 29.1% · before adjusting for past results 28.4% · the book's price implies 25.0% · gap +4.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:05 PM ET
Zack Wheeler
over 7.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 7.5 +300 (4.00) · $100→$400
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 29 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$40.00 Odds+300
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zack Wheeler is Over 7.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 29 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 29%, the price says 25%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right · +$3,299 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts28.4%29.1%25.0%3.43+3.4%

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays: Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+300)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Tonight, Zack Wheeler needs to rack up more than 7.5 strikeouts against the Tampa Bay Rays. He's been great at home, and the way the wind is blowing out tonight can make hitters swing harder, giving pitchers like him a chance to get those strikeouts. Wheeler has had some ups and downs lately, but he's still got the talent to surprise us. The Rays have been winning a decent amount, but their players aren't hitting as well as usual, which gives Wheeler a solid shot to put up big numbers. Just keep in mind, if the hitters find their rhythm, it could be tough for him to reach that total.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Outs 17.5 Under +111 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +140 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Zack Wheeler (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zack Wheeler is Over 7.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday 27 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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