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MLB

Zack Wheeler

PHI

Value call

Zack Wheeler has one live pick today: over 7.5 strikeouts that pays $400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
27 in 100
Predicted
6.2 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 26.6% · before adjusting for past results 28.4% · the book's price implies 25.0% · gap +1.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:05 PM ET
Zack Wheeler
over 7.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 7.5 +300 (4.00) · $100→$400
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 27 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$40.00 Odds+300
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zack Wheeler is Over 7.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 27 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 27%, the price says 25%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 8:29AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts28.4%26.6%25.0%3.76+3.4%

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays: Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+300)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Zack Wheeler needs to strike out 8 batters tonight for this bet to hit. At Citizens Bank Park, he usually gets around 8.5 strikeouts in a game, and the wind blowing out toward the outfield can help keep hitters off balance. He also averages about 102 pitches per game, giving him plenty of chances to rack up those strikeouts. The Tampa Bay Rays have won 6 of their last 10 games, so they can swing the bat well. Wheeler has allowed an average of 2.4 walks in his home games, which could give Tampa some chances to connect. Still, with his strong strikeout history at this park, he has a solid chance to go over 7.5 tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Outs 17.5 Under +111 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +140 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Zack Wheeler (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zack Wheeler is Over 7.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday 27 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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