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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zack Wheeler is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 5.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 5:04AM UTC
MLB

Zack Wheeler

PHI

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 -123 (1.81) · $100→$181
Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug, 8:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs PHI @ LAA
updated Aug 30, 8:07PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 55.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed——55.2%1.87—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies: Zack Wheeler Under 4.5 Pitcher - Hits Allowed (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

For tonight's game, we're looking at Zack Wheeler and how many hits he allows. He faces the Los Angeles Angels, who have struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. While they've hit decently against left-handed pitchers this season, they've been even worse at home, which adds pressure on them. Wheeler has been solid on the mound, and the wind blowing out towards the outfield might help hitters, but keep in mind that one player on the Angels is getting hits at only about 0.7 of his usual rate lately. With the Angels not hitting their best and Wheeler's recent form, going under 4.5 hits allowed seems like a reasonable bet tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Zack Wheeler is averaging 5.0 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
2.6
Runs
1.2
Walks
8.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Zack Wheeler has gone over 3.5 SO in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o3.510%
o4.510%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
o10.50%
o11.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Zack Wheeler is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.4 in away games, including his recent form against WSN.

5.0
Hits · Overall
5.4
Hits · Away
3.6
Hits · vs WSN
1.0
HR · Overall
1.0
HR · Away
0.6
HR · vs WSN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -175 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
25 Aug 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
18 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
18 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Zack Wheeler (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zack Wheeler is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels on Sunday 30 August at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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