Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zack Wheeler is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +24.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:05PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 1.5
-102 (1.98) · $100→$198
+24.6% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 10:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
50.5%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 75.1% | — | 50.5% | 1.33 | +24.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Zack Wheeler (PHI) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-102)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Zack Wheeler (PHI) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-102). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Zack Wheeler MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.540%
O 5.530%
O 6.530%
O 7.510%
Zack Wheeler MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Zack Wheeler MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Zack Wheeler MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Zack Wheeler MLB outs: cleared over 18.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 18.8 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Zack Wheeler (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zack Wheeler is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.6% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday 8 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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