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Model picks & player props
San Francisco Giants
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 14, 2:24AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep 2026, 11:45PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings -120

The model graded 20 markets for San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $183 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 14 Sep 2026, 11:45PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win71.1%
The price says54.6%
Best price-120
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals High71% chance -120
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean57% chance —
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot29% chance —
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High82% chance —
Spread Long-shot38% chance —
Spread Long-shot28% chance —
Spread High88% chance —
Spread High81% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot35% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →
St. Louis Cardinals are the model's favourite to beat San Francisco Giants, with a 55% chance to win. Predicted score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.9 – San Francisco Giants 3.6. Kick-off Mon 14 Sep, 11:45PM at Busch Stadium. Best bet: St. Louis Cardinals at -120.
How they've been scoring this season
San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals
Won-lost62-8773-76
Runs scored per game4.24.6
Runs allowed per game4.74.6
On the road / at home26-49 away35-39 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWLLLLLWL
Their games average 9.1 total runs this season.
From the 149 San Francisco Giants and 149 St. Louis Cardinals games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 40 bookmakers compared
Winner
Giants2.22+122Kalshi
Cardinals1.82-122Kalshi
Total runs
Over81.98-102LowVig
Under81.90-111PointsBet

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals odds by bookmaker

40 books · best price in green
BookGiants winCardinals winCardinals -1.5Over 8Under 8
1xBet2.15+1151.80-1252.65+165——
888sport2.10+1101.73-137———
Bally Bet2.10+1101.76-1322.60+160——
BetAnySports2.15+1151.74-1352.60+1601.94-1061.88-114
BetMGM2.15+1151.71-1412.65+1651.95-1051.87-115
BetOnline2.18+1181.77-1302.65+1651.95-1051.87-115
betPARX2.10+1101.76-1322.60+160——
BetRivers2.10+1101.76-1322.60+1601.91-1101.77-130
BetUS2.18+1181.77-1302.64+1641.95-1051.87-115
Bovada2.11+1111.75-1332.80+1801.95-1051.87-115
ESPN BET2.10+1101.77-1302.70+170——
Fanatics2.15+1151.71-1412.60+1601.95-1051.87-115
FanDuel2.12+1121.76-1322.76+1761.95-1051.87-115
Fliff2.10+1101.74-1352.55+155——

Since the market opened: Cardinals to win opened 1.75, best now 1.84; the over 8 opened 1.95, best now 1.98 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 32 of 182 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 12
Carter Jensen Over 0.5
Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals
-120
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Francisco Giants

  • Rafael Devers 1BOut
  • Victor Bericoto LFOut
  • Carson Whisenhunt SPOut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • JT Brubaker RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Keaton Winn RPOut
  • Adrian Houser SPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Sam Hentges RPOut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Willy Adames SSOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Webb SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Jose Fermin LFDay-to-day
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Michael McGreevy SP
Availability updated Sep 13, 11:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 28 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability28 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 14 Sep

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Prediction and Picks, September 14, 2026

On September 14, 2026 our model has run San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-345)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-345). That is a alternate spreads 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Over 2.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-323)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Over 2.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-323). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Over 9.5 Total Runs (+186)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Over 9.5 Total Runs (+186). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +186 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Over 8 Total Runs (+102)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Over 8 Total Runs (+102). That is a totals bet. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-120). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-250)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-250). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run line-1.5 +176
+1.3proj. margin
L5 RF4.6L5 RA4.6Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals spread vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 38% (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin +1.3.

MoneylineSt. Louis Cardinals to win-132
55%model win %
1-4L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA4.6Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 55% (LEAN); L5 record 1-4.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco GiantsOver 9.5 +186
8.5proj. runs
L5 RF4.6L5 RA4.6Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals total runs vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 31% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.5.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
4.8runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA4.6Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 1-4, 4.6 runs/gm.

San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5 games; San Francisco Giants have won 3 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–3CHWHome
L5–6CHWHome
L1–2SFAway
L6–7SFAway
L4–5SFAway
San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–7SDHome
L6–7SDHome
W2–1STLHome
W7–6STLHome
W5–4STLHome

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 0, San Francisco Giants won 3.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsSan Francisco GiantsWinner
Sep 912San Francisco Giants
Sep 967San Francisco Giants
Sep 845San Francisco Giants

Who’s out or in doubt

28 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Jose Fermin LFDAY-TO-DAY
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Rafael Devers 1BOUT
Victor Bericoto LFOUT
Carson Whisenhunt SPOUT
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT
JT Brubaker RPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT
Keaton Winn RPOUT
Adrian Houser SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Our San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals prediction for September 14, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 14, 2026 our model has run San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Giants vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Giants. The next scheduled game is Monday 14 September 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
San Francisco Giants 12–10 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 9.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants2–1San Francisco Giants
8 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants5–4San Francisco Giants
7 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants5–4San Francisco Giants
24 Sep 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants4–3San Francisco Giants
23 Sep 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants8–9St. Louis Cardinals
22 Sep 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants5–6St. Louis Cardinals
7 Sep 2025San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals4–3St. Louis Cardinals
6 Sep 2025San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals
5 Sep 2025San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals2–8San Francisco Giants
29 Sep 2024St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants1–6St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

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