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Model picks & player props
Genoa
VS
Parma

Genoa vs Parma Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 5:36PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Outdoor
Sun 18 Jan 2026, 11:30AM
10
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Draw (Moneyline)
The model graded 10 markets for Genoa vs Parma (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $270 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 49.8%, fair odds 2.01, book price +170, model edge +12.8%. Tip-off Sun 18 Jan 2026, 11:30AM at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Draw · $100 returned $270

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Draw
+170
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
DrawHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Genoa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Parma

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Genoa vs Parma: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineGenoa @ ParmaNo line posted
5-0-3past meetings (last 8)
Draw50%Home form3-8-9Away form6-6-8
past meetings, home wins5 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Parma have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 3. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreGenoa @ ParmaNo line posted
60%both teams score %
5 / 8past meetings, both scored
Parma50%Genoa50%
past meetings, both scored5 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Parma's and 50% of Genoa's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsGenoa @ ParmaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.545%Away ov2.535%past meetings avg3.0
past meetings, over 2.55 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.0 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Genoa @ Parma — what the model found

Our model graded 10 betting markets for Genoa at Parma — 10 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 10 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Genoa @ Parma — model preview

Expert analysis and top Serie A betting picks for Parma vs Genoa. Featuring picks like NA player props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, Serie A parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Parma vs Genoa: Both Teams To Score: Yes (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Yes' bet on Both Teams to Score in the Parma vs Genoa game is based on their recent scoring trends. Both teams have consistently scored in their recent matches. Parma's average team score at home over the last five games is 1.2, while Genoa's average team score away is 0.6. On the defensive side, Parma concedes an average of 1.4 goals at home and Genoa concedes 1.2 goals away. This suggests that both teams have vulnerabilities in their defenses that their opponent could exploit. Furthermore, the expected goals (xG) statistics, which measure the quality of chances created and conceded, also support this bet. Parma's xG at home is 1.28 while Genoa's xG away is 0.92. These figures indicate that both teams are likely to score in this match.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
18 Jan 26 Moneyline Genoa ✗ MISS
18 Jan 26 Moneyline Draw ✓ HIT
18 Jan 26 Both Teams to Score Yes ✗ MISS
18 Jan 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Genoa ✗ MISS
18 Jan 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Draw ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Genoa vs Parma in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 January 2026 at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The model has generated 10 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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