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Model picks & player props
MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
103-64 · 51-32 awayWWLWW
VS
Milwaukee Brewers
106-60 · 57-26 at homeWWWLW

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Picks · Sun 11 Oct

Our model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers and backs Over 9 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $460.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 9 total runs
Over 9 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$46.00Best price+360
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win20.4%
The price says21.8%

The model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $460 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET at American Family Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9 Long-shot20% chance +360
Total Runs Members only Long-shot28% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 76% Members
Batter - Walks × 3 props Leanup to 46% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 8 props Leanup to 45% Members
Batter - Hits × 8 props Leanup to 60% Members
Batter - RBIs × 9 props Long-shotup to 33% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Leanup to 54% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 9 props Long-shotup to 40% Members
Batter - Singles × 4 props Long-shotup to 18% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 2 props Long-shotup to 22% Members
Batter - Doubles × 2 props Long-shotup to 18% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
How they've been scoring this season
Los Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers
Won-lost103-64106-60
Runs scored per game4.95.1
Runs allowed per game3.73.8
On the road / at home51-32 away57-26 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLWWWWWLW
Their games average 8.7 total runs this season.
From the 167 Los Angeles Dodgers and 166 Milwaukee Brewers games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Brewers about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Dodgersabout 5 in 10$2.02 (+102)$1.96 (-104)
Brewersabout 5 in 10$1.98 (-102)$1.94 (-106)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.90 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 44 books we check.

All MLB odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,149+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Milwaukee Brewers on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Milwaukee Brewers
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Los Angeles Dodgers
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Miguel Rojas 2BDay-to-day
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Grant Anderson RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut
Availability updated Oct 7, 8:24PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 11 Oct

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Picks, October 11, 2026

On October 11, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 3.5 Total Runs (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Kyle Tucker (LAD) Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+185)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Kyle Tucker (LAD) Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+185). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) Over 0.5 Singles (+170)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shohei Ohtani (LAD) Over 0.5 Singles (+170). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at +170 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+173)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shohei Ohtani (LAD) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+173). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +173 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 1.5 total runs, first 5 innings (-294)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 1.5 total runs, first 5 innings (-294). That is a total runs, first 5 innings bet. It was priced at -294 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 3.5 Total Runs (-400)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 3.5 Total Runs (-400). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 4 Total Runs (-357)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 4 Total Runs (-357). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at -357 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 11 Oct

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, October 11, 2026

On October 11, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip LONG-SHOT confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Cooper Pratt Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cooper Pratt Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+118). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brice Turang (MIL) Under 0.5 Hits (+116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brice Turang (MIL) Under 0.5 Hits (+116). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-154)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shohei Ohtani (LAD) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-154). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Tarik Skubal Pitcher - Walks
Shohei Ohtani LAD Batter - Walks
Shohei Ohtani LAD Batter - Total Bases
Cooper Pratt Batter - Hits
Freddie Freeman LAD Batter - RBIs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

1 market live
Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles DodgersOver 9 +360
8.7proj. runs
L5 RF3.8L5 RA2.8Home L55-0vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers total runs vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live and our model makes it 36% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.7.

MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA2.8Home L55-0vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA2.8Home L55-0vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
2.8runs we expect
L5 RF3.8L5 RA2.8Home L55-0vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent results

Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5.

Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1SDAway
L3–4SDAway
W3–2SDHome
W4–3SDHome
W6–4STLHome
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1ATLAway
W3–1ATLAway
L2–3ATLHome
W5–3ATLHome
W5–1SFAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 3.8 runs per game (4-1) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 3.8 (4-1); Milwaukee Brewers pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 1.8 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

3.8
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
3.8
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesMilwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game3.83.8
Hits / game8.67.0
Home runs / game0.81.8
Walks drawn / game3.43.4
Batter K / game6.48.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.21.8
Pitching K / game8.011.0
Walks allowed / game4.04.0
L5 record4-14-1

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Milwaukee Brewers won 5, Los Angeles Dodgers won 4.

DateMilwaukee BrewersLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Aug 1662Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 1513Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 1541Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 1454Milwaukee Brewers
May 2415Los Angeles Dodgers
May 23311Los Angeles Dodgers
May 2251Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 16249Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 934Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Grant Anderson RPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Miguel Rojas 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Eric Lauer SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Ben Casparius RPOUT
Brusdar Graterol RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers — where the money went

Since betting opened on Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers, the market has moved away from Milwaukee Brewers across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Milwaukee Brewers -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 6▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 6▲ Money came for this
Spread — Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 6.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 6.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Los Angeles Dodgers▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers — model preview

Our Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers prediction for October 11, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On October 11, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 3.5 Total Runs (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Brewers, or as Brewers vs Dodgers. The next scheduled game is Sunday 11 October 2026 at American Family Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers head-to-head record

Final scores · 35 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 19–15 across the last 35 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 16 Aug 2026, Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers: the Brewers won 6-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
16 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–6Milwaukee Brewers
15 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–1Los Angeles Dodgers
14 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–5Milwaukee Brewers
13 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–5Milwaukee Brewers
24 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers1–5Los Angeles Dodgers
23 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers3–11Los Angeles Dodgers
22 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers5–1Milwaukee Brewers
16 Mar 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers9–24Milwaukee Brewers
9 Mar 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers3–4Los Angeles Dodgers
17 Oct 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–1Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 35 meetings on file.

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