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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chase Burns is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 47%, implied 40%, edge +29.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 ERlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 1.50 SOlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 13, 7:31PM UTC
MLB

Chase Burns

MLB

+29.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 1.5 +150 (2.50) · $100→$250
+29.0% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 32 of 182 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs CIN @ MIL
updated Sep 13, 6:10PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
2.4 Pitcher - Walks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.0% · the book's price implies 40.0% · gap +29.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks69.0%47.1%40.0%2.67+29.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Chase Burns Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+150)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Chase Burns Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+150). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at +150 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Chase Burns's lines for Sun 13 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Walks 1.5
Confirmed to play

Chase Burns's pitcher walks line is 1.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 1.5
Confirmed to play

Chase Burns's pitcher strikeouts line is 1.5.

Pitcher Earned Runs 0.5
Confirmed to play

Chase Burns's pitcher earned runs line is 0.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 7.5
Confirmed to play

Chase Burns's pitcher strikeouts line is 7.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 2.5
Confirmed to play

Chase Burns's pitcher strikeouts line is 2.5.

Pitcher Earned Runs 1.5
Confirmed to play

Chase Burns's pitcher earned runs line is 1.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5
Confirmed to play

Chase Burns's pitcher strikeouts line is 6.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 3.5
Confirmed to play

Chase Burns's pitcher strikeouts line is 3.5.

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Chase Burns has gone over 1.5 SO in 80% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.580%
o2.580%
o3.580%
o4.560%
o5.540%
o6.50%
o7.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 3.5 Under -169 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
30 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Walks Pending
30 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

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About This Player

Chase Burns is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chase Burns is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday 13 September at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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