Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for David Peterson is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +20.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 9, 7:20AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Under 5.5
-164 (1.61)
+20.0% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 6:20PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 498 of 903 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
62.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 82.1% | — | 62.1% | 1.22 | +20.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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David Peterson (CHC) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-164)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Chicago Cubs play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is David Peterson (CHC) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-164). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
David Peterson MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.570%
O 1.550%
O 2.530%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
David Peterson MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 70%hit L10
17.4avg outs · L5
Streak2L2065%
David Peterson MLB outs: cleared over 15.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 17.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
David Peterson (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for David Peterson is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.0% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs on Thursday 6 August at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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