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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for David Peterson is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 3.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 9:29AM UTC
MLB

David Peterson

CHC

David Peterson has one live pick today: Pitcher - Earned Runs Over 1.5 that pays $157 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Over 1.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio · Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
2.6 Pitcher - Earned Runs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.0% · before adjusting for past results 50.2% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap -2.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs50.2%61.0%63.7%1.65-13.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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David Peterson (CHC) Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-175)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is David Peterson (CHC) Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-175). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

David Peterson is averaging 4.6 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.6
Hits
0.4
HR
0.0
RBI
1.6
Runs
2.2
Walks
6.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

David Peterson has gone over 1.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.540%
o2.530%
o3.520%
o4.510%
o5.510%
o6.510%
o7.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

David Peterson is averaging 4.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.0 in away games, including his recent form against CHC.

4.6
Hits · Overall
5.0
Hits · Away
3.0
Hits · vs CHC
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
0.3
HR · vs CHC
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Outs 15.5 Over +121 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
14 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending

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About This Player

David Peterson (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for David Peterson is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of -13.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds on Sunday 20 September at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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