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Model picks & player props
San Diego Padres
VS
Chicago White Sox

San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 11:43PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 21 Sep 2025, 6:10PM
3
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
San Diego Padres Moneyline -182

The model graded 5 markets for San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $155 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Sep 2025, 6:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.1%
The price says64.5%
Best price-182
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline San Diego Padres High66% chance -182
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 93%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
San Diego Padres
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Diego PadresMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Diego Padres

  • Gavin Sheets 1BOut
  • Luis Rengifo LFOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Nick Pivetta SPOut
  • Joe Musgrove SPOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Jason Adam RPOut
  • Miguel Andujar DHOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Probable pitcher

Robbie Ray SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Tyler Schweitzer RPOut
  • Davis Martin SPOut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Jordan Hicks SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 6:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP Batter - Stolen Bases
Ramon Laureano BAL Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs San Diego Padres L52-3Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs San Diego Padres L52-3

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs San Diego PadresNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
1.2runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs San Diego Padres L52-3

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for San Diego Padres at Chicago White Sox — 3 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 games; San Diego Padres have won 1 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–4MINAway
W3–2MINAway
W10–4TEXHome
W11–7TEXHome
L2–11TEXHome
San Diego Padres — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–7TBAway
L4–9TBAway
L0–1PITHome
W3–0PITHome
L2–3PITHome

San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 2, San Diego Padres won 3.

DateChicago White SoxSan Diego PadresWinner
May 340Chicago White Sox
May 334San Diego Padres
May 282Chicago White Sox
Mar 20613San Diego Padres
Mar 334San Diego Padres

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Tyler Schweitzer RPOUT
Davis Martin SPOUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Joey Bart COUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
San Diego Padres
PlayerStatus
Gavin Sheets 1BOUT
Luis Rengifo LFOUT
Jeremiah Estrada RPOUT
Nick Pivetta SPOUT
Joe Musgrove SPOUT
Lucas Giolito SPOUT
Jason Adam RPOUT
Miguel Andujar DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Chicago White Sox vs San Diego Padres. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago White Sox vs San Diego Padres stats and odds.

Chicago White Sox vs San Diego Padres : San Diego Padres Win (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The San Diego Padres are a strong bet for the Moneyline market in their game against the Chicago White Sox. The White Sox have struggled at home recently, with a 1-4 record in their last 5 games. They've also had difficulty scoring, averaging only 1.2 runs in these games, while allowing an average of 4 runs. In contrast, the Padres have maintained a consistent scoring average of 3 runs, both overall and on the road, and have limited their opponents to 3.4 runs. Moreover, the White Sox's recent performance against the Padres is not promising, with a 1-4 record. These statistics suggest that the Padres have a strong chance of outscoring the White Sox, making them a good choice for this bet.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Padres vs Sox, or as Sox vs Padres. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 September 2025 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 3 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
San Diego Padres 15–4 across the last 20 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 7.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 May 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres0–4Chicago White Sox
2 May 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres2–8Chicago White Sox
1 May 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres2–8Chicago White Sox
20 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres13–6San Diego Padres
19 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres13–6San Diego Padres
3 Mar 2026San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox3–4San Diego Padres
21 Sep 2025San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox2–3San Diego Padres
20 Sep 2025San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox3–7San Diego Padres
19 Sep 2025San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox4–3Chicago White Sox
11 Mar 2025Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres7–5San Diego Padres

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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