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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ramon Laureano is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 92%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:27PM UTC
MLB

Ramon Laureano

BAL

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1111 (1.09)
+1.5% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Sun 21 Sep, 6:10PM
OUT
Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
updated Jun 5, 11:55PM UTC · 45d old
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Model Probability
93.2%
Implied Probability
91.7%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases93.2%91.7%1.07+1.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Ramon Laureano (BAL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Ramon Laureano is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Laureano's overall and away stolen bases average is zero, indicating he hasn't been successful in stealing bases. Even against the Chicago White Sox, his stolen bases average is just 0.4, which is still below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, Laureano hasn't been caught stealing either, suggesting he's not even attempting to steal bases. Despite his impressive hit streak, it doesn't translate to stolen bases. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet seems to be a logical choice based on these statistics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg hits · L5
Streak2
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Ramon Laureano MLB hits: averaging 0.8 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.6avg total bases · L5
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%

Ramon Laureano MLB total bases: averaging 2.6 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.6avg home runs · L5
O 0.520%
O 1.510%

Ramon Laureano MLB home runs: averaging 0.6 home runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.2avg H+R+RBI · L5

Ramon Laureano MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 2.2 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg singles · L5

Ramon Laureano MLB singles: averaging 0.2 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Ramon Laureano MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ramon Laureano (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ramon Laureano is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox on Sunday 21 September at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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