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The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Wrobleski is Under 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 43%, implied 40%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 17, 7:34AM UTC
MLB

Justin Wrobleski

MLB

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Outs Under 14.5 +150 (2.50) · $100→$250
+2.6% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio · Outdoor
Thu 17 Sep, 4:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
15.4 Pitcher - Outs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 42.6% · the book's price implies 40.0% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs42.6%—40.0%2.35+2.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Justin Wrobleski Under 14.5 Pitcher - Outs (+150)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Cincinnati Reds have struggled recently, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. They face a tough challenge against the Los Angeles Dodgers, who have been on fire, winning 8 of their last 10 games. Both teams hit well against left-handed pitchers, but the Reds are only slightly behind the Dodgers in that area. With Justin Wrobleski on the mound, the bet is for him to get under 14.5 outs. Wrobleski may have a tough time against a strong Dodgers lineup, which could limit his effectiveness. Plus, his team is not performing at its best, and the game is at home, which usually puts extra pressure on players. This bet has potential, but it's important to be aware of the risk that Wrobleski might not last long in the game against a team that is hitting well.

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Pick History & Track Record

Justin Wrobleski's lines for Thu 17 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Outs 14.5
-139 best over price · 8 books

Justin Wrobleski's pitcher outs line is 14.5, best over price -139 across 8 books.

Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5

Justin Wrobleski's pitcher strikeouts line is 5.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Pitcher - StrikeoutsUpcoming gameU 5.5 -110

Justin Wrobleski MLB strikeouts. Current line U 5.5 at -110.

Pitcher - OutsUpcoming gameU 14.5 +150

Justin Wrobleski MLB outs. Current line U 14.5 at +150.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
07 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
07 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Justin Wrobleski is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Wrobleski is Under 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds on Thursday 17 September at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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