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The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Wrobleski is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 48%, implied 53%, edge -0.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 15, 2:56AM UTC
MLB

Justin Wrobleski

MLB

-0.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 3.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
-0.8% Edge
Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Mon 7 Sep, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 37 of 206 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
52 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 52.4% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -0.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed52.4%47.6%53.2%2.10-0.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals: Justin Wrobleski Under 3.5 Pitcher - Hits Allowed (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The odds of under 3.5 hits allowed for Justin Wrobleski seem pretty fair, given how both teams are performing lately. The Dodgers have been solid against left-handed pitchers, with their hitters matching the league average. Wrobleski is facing a Nationals lineup that has been decent against lefties too, which means they could find some success. Still, there's a good chance this could go either way since both teams are showing similar hitting stats. The real risk here is how close the two sides are, especially since Wrobleski hasn't faced the Nationals yet. With the game at Dodger Stadium, it could really come down to how well he pitches on the day.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
07 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
07 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Justin Wrobleski is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Wrobleski is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.8% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday 7 September at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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