Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction and Picks, September 9, 2026

At loanDepot Park, the Miami Marlins take on the New York Mets in a matchup where both teams have been scoring runs. The Marlins have been averaging just under 4 runs in their recent games, winning 4 of their last 10. They've been decent against left-handed pitchers, hitting with a solid on-base percentage this season. The Mets are doing a bit better overall, winning 6 of their last 10, and they also have a similar hitting trend against lefties. With both teams finding ways to score, there's a good chance we'll see at least 10 runs combined. However, the tight competition means it could easily go the other way if the pitchers step up. Still, the stats suggest that hitting will be key here, making the over on 9 runs a smart pick for this game.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Miami Marlins -1.5 Spread (+162)

The odds are offering a good chance for the Miami Marlins to cover the spread at -1.5. They've shown some solid hitting against left-handed pitchers this year, putting up numbers similar to the league average. Although they've only won four of their last ten, their recent performance has been competitive, only trailing by about 0.4 runs in the last twelve games. On the other side, the New York Mets have been slightly better, winning six of their last ten. They also have a decent batting average against lefties, but the Marlins have the home advantage at loanDepot Park, which can help them play stronger. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are, but with Miami's recent form, they have a real shot to win by more than one run.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Brett Baty Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (-111)

Brett Baty has been struggling to get on base lately, averaging just 0.4 doubles over his last ten games at Citi Field. This shows that he's not hitting as well as expected, especially when going up against the Miami Marlins, who are decent against left-handed pitchers. With the Marlins coming off a tough stretch, they've been allowing just slightly over four runs a game lately, which could make it tough for Baty to find his rhythm. The risk here is that Baty's performance can vary from one game to the next, and he might surprise everyone. However, given his recent form and the way the Marlins have been pitching, betting on him to get less than half a hit seems like a smart move right now.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (-103)

Francisco Alvarez hasn't been able to find his groove lately, averaging zero hits over his last three games. The Miami Marlins have been a bit shaky too, coming up short by about 0.4 runs per game in their recent outings. This matchup against the New York Mets looks pretty even, but Alvarez is facing a tough time hitting against left-handed pitchers, and both teams have similar performance against them. With Alvarez struggling to get hits and the odds showing this bet is nearly a toss-up, going for under 0.5 hits seems like a smart move. The main risk is that the Mets have won six of their last ten games, so they could bring some fire to this matchup. However, Alvarez's current form suggests he might not be able to break through.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+137)

Jakob Marsee is facing off against a strong New York Mets team that has been winning more often lately. With the Mets also performing well against left-handed pitchers, this matchup could be tough for him. We're betting that Marsee will get less than half a hit in this game. While he has shown some potential, he averages fewer ground outs and his recent performance doesn't inspire confidence. The chances of him coming up empty today feel pretty balanced, but it's worth noting that the Mets have been solid in their recent games, making this a tricky spot for him.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.