Mitch Owens (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-417)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mitch Owens is a strong bet to score anytime in the Melbourne vs. St Kilda game based on his recent form. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last 5 away games and an average of 1 goal against this specific opponent in away games, Owens has consistently found the back of the net. His involvement in scoring opportunities is evident with an average of 3.8 score involvements and 3 shots at goal per game. Additionally, facing a Melbourne side where he has historically performed well, Owens' goal-scoring potential is further supported. Considering his recent goal-scoring streak and involvement in creating scoring chances, the model's prediction of 1.4 goals for Owens provides a strong basis for this bet.

Melbourne Demons vs St Kilda Saints : St Kilda Saints 11.5 (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

St Kilda Saints +11.5 is a favorable bet due to their recent performance metrics compared to Melbourne Demons. In their last five away games, St Kilda has improved their margin average to -8.8, while Melbourne's margin average at home is 1.8. St Kilda's defense has tightened, allowing an average of 81.2 points against, compared to Melbourne's 83.2 at home. The Saints have shown a competitive edge in key metrics like Inside50s and Shotsatgoal, indicating they can keep the game close and potentially cover the spread against the Demons in this matchup at TIO Traeger Park.

Mason Wood (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-385)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mason Wood is a strong bet to score anytime against Melbourne due to his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games, his goal-scoring ability is evident. Additionally, his high score involvements (5) and goal accuracy (56.7%) further support this bet. Facing Melbourne, against whom he has an average of 0 goals in his last five matchups, he is due for a breakthrough. With a model prediction of 1.3 goals and a 5.5% edge, the likelihood of Wood finding the back of the net is promising. The over on Mason Wood to score anytime is a solid choice based on his recent performances and the matchup dynamics.

Jake Bowey (Melbourne) Over 19.5 Disposals (-370)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jake Bowey is poised to shine in the upcoming game against St Kilda based on his recent form and matchup history. With a model prediction of 23.8 disposals, Bowey's L5 average of 25.8 disposals at home showcases his consistency. His strong performance in contested possessions (7.2) and metres gained (487) add to his potential to surpass the 19.5 disposal line. Moreover, Bowey's impressive 5/6 hit rate in home games and 8/10 overall hit rate demonstrate his reliability. Facing an opponent he has historically outperformed in disposals, Bowey's L5 averages suggest he is well-equipped to exceed expectations, making the Over 19.5 disposals bet a favorable choice.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro