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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mason Wood is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 72%, edge +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 3:50AM UTC
AFL

Mason Wood

St Kilda

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+0.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 15 Mar, 4:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
14.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.0% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +0.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.0%72.5%1.37+0.5%

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AI Analysis

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Mason Wood (St Kilda) Over 11.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Mason Wood hitting the Over 11.5 disposals mark against Melbourne, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Wood has been a steady contributor, averaging 11.2 disposals with a solid 60.3% disposal efficiency. Facing Melbourne, he's elevated his game even further, averaging 20.7 disposals in their recent matchups. Wood's ability to find the footy, coupled with his knack for gaining metres and making an impact with intercepts, makes him a prime candidate to snag more than 11.5 disposals this time around. With his current form and history against Melbourne, backing Wood to hit the Over seems like a smart play for punters looking to ride his midfield prowess.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Mason Wood averaged 18.3 disposals, 0.9 goals and 7.4 marks per game across 18 games in 2024.

18.3
Disposals
0.9
Goals
7.4
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Mason Wood recorded 16 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton16282
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats17191
11 Aug 24Richmond22090
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions16061
27 Jul 24Essendon19081
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles19391
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows15237
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans14161
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide191131
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions22183
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mason Wood (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mason Wood is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 15 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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