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AFL

Mason Wood

St Kilda

Value call

Mason Wood (St Kilda) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $150 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
1.1 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 77.9% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +11.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 15 Mar, 3:15 PM AEDT
Mason Wood
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
Value call
HIGHWins about 78 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.00 Odds-200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mason Wood is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 67%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:53PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals77.9%—66.7%1.28+11.2%

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AI Analysis

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Mason Wood (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When looking at Mason Wood's recent performances, it's clear he's been hungry to snag goals, especially in away games. Despite facing Melbourne, who he hasn't scored against in his last five matchups, Wood's been active in the forward line, averaging 2.8 shots at goal and 1.8 marks inside 50 in away games. His goal accuracy might be a bit shaky at 33.3%, but with his involvement in creating scoring opportunities (4.4 score involvements on average), the chances are there. Even though his recent goal average sits at 0.8, the model predicts him to hit 1.1 in this game, giving us a solid 66.7% implied probability of him splitting the middle at least once. With a bit of luck, Wood could easily surpass the 0.5 line and give us a winning bet to cheer about come game day. Let's back him to shine on the big stage!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Mason Wood averaged 18.3 disposals, 0.9 goals and 7.4 marks per game across 18 games in 2024.

18.3
Disposals
0.9
Goals
7.4
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Mason Wood recorded 16 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton16282
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats17191
11 Aug 24Richmond22090
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions16061
27 Jul 24Essendon19081
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles19391
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows15237
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans14161
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide191131
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions22183
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 11.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Mason Wood (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mason Wood is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.2% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 15 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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