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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mason Wood is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
AFL

Mason Wood

St Kilda

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -263 (1.38)
+0.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 15 Mar, 4:15AM
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Model Probability
73.0%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+0.5%
Predicted Value
14.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.0%72.5%1.37+0.5%

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AI Analysis

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Mason Wood (St Kilda) Over 11.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Mason Wood hitting the Over 11.5 disposals mark against Melbourne, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Wood has been a steady contributor, averaging 11.2 disposals with a solid 60.3% disposal efficiency. Facing Melbourne, he's elevated his game even further, averaging 20.7 disposals in their recent matchups. Wood's ability to find the footy, coupled with his knack for gaining metres and making an impact with intercepts, makes him a prime candidate to snag more than 11.5 disposals this time around. With his current form and history against Melbourne, backing Wood to hit the Over seems like a smart play for punters looking to ride his midfield prowess.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
17.9avg disposals recent
Season best27
Disposals last 10avg 17.9 · hi 22 · lo 14
22191415191916221716

Mason Wood has a disposals high of 27 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.1avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.1 · hi 3 · lo 0
1112300012

Mason Wood has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mason Wood (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mason Wood is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 15 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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