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AFL

Hugo Garcia

St Kilda

+5.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -500 (1.20)
+5.1% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 12 Apr, 9:15AM
Model Probability
88.4%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+5.1%
Predicted Value
18.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hugo Garcia (St Kilda) Over 12.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL action, Hugo Garcia is the man to watch. His recent form suggests he’s ready to light up the Adelaide Oval for the St Kilda Saints against Port Adelaide Power. Averaging a whopping 18.4 disposals in his last five away games, Garcia has been a midfield maestro, dominating the contest with 6.8 contested possessions on average. His precise foot skills, evident in his 68.5% disposal efficiency, make him a reliable playmaker. Against Port Adelaide, he's even more lethal, averaging 9.5 disposals in their recent encounters. With his current hot streak and the model predicting him to hit 18.5 disposals, taking the Over 12.5 on Garcia feels like a safe bet with a high probability of cashing in.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 70.0% (7/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 12.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 11.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 13.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Hugo Garcia (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 70.0% (7/10). The latest model pick for Hugo Garcia is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 12 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.