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AFL

Hugo Garcia

St Kilda

+0.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -500 (1.20)
+0.7% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 28 Mar, 1:35AM
Model Probability
84.0%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+0.7%
Predicted Value
18.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hugo Garcia (St Kilda) Over 13.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between St Kilda Saints and Brisbane Lions, all eyes are on Hugo Garcia to shine on his home turf at Marvel Stadium. With an impressive average of 15 disposals over his last five home games, Garcia's recent form speaks volumes. His knack for finding the ball, coupled with a solid contested possessions average of 5.6 and an overall disposals average of 17.8, sets the stage for him to surpass the 13.5 disposal line. Factor in his current hit streak of 3 and a consistent disposalefficiency of 73.8%, and it's clear that Garcia is primed to make a significant impact in this upcoming matchup. Bet confidently on Garcia to exceed expectations and rack up the possessions as he leads the charge for the Saints.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 72.7% (8/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 13.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 14.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 15.5 Over -222 ✗ MISS
21 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
21 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
21 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Hugo Garcia (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 72.7% (8/11). The latest model pick for Hugo Garcia is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.7% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 28 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.