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AFL

Hugo Garcia

St Kilda

+3.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -588 (1.17)
+3.0% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 15 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
88.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+3.0%
Predicted Value
18.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Hugo Garcia (St Kilda) Over 12.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a reliable bet in the AFL, Hugo Garcia stands out as a prime candidate for hitting Over 12.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between St Kilda Saints and Melbourne Demons at the MCG. Garcia has been a consistent performer, averaging 17.6 disposals over his last five away games, showcasing his ability to find the footy in challenging environments. With an impressive L5 average of 9.4 kicks and 8.2 handballs in away games, Garcia has been a pivotal playmaker for St Kilda. His knack for gaining meters (272 on average) and maintaining a solid disposal efficiency of 64.8% further solidifies his case for surpassing the 12.5 disposals line. Considering his recent form and the strategic importance of his role, backing Hugo Garcia to eclipse 12.5 disposals seems like a smart play with a high probability of success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 98.0% (49/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 12.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 12.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 13.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending

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