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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Steele is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 69%, edge +4.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 5:58AM UTC
AFL

Jack Steele

Melbourne

+4.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
+4.8% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Hawthorn Hawks
UTAS Stadium, Launceston, TAS · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
23.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.3% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap +4.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.3%—69.4%1.35+4.8%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Steele (Melbourne) Over 20.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Steele is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against Hawthorn at UTAS Stadium. With an average of 22.4 disposals over his last five away games and a stellar 81.6% disposal efficiency, Steele has been a midfield stalwart for the Demons. His recent form includes an impressive 28.7 disposals per game against this very opponent, showcasing his ability to excel against Hawthorn. Factor in his current hit streak of 3 away games and an overall hit rate of 100% over his last 7 matches, and it's clear why backing Steele to surpass 20.5 disposals is a smart play. Expect him to continue racking up possessions, dictating play, and driving Melbourne towards victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Jack Steele averaged 24.2 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.7 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

24.2
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.7
Marks
7.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Jack Steele recorded 20 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton20056
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats2721010
11 Aug 24Richmond22085
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions23097
27 Jul 24Essendon21365
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles31195
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows190510
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans28077
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide25092
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions16045
Quick answers:How many disposals does Jack Steele average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 20.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 19.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 18.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jack Steele (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Steele is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.8% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 4 July at UTAS Stadium, Launceston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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