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AFL

Jack Macrae

St Kilda

Value call

Jack Macrae (St Kilda) has one live pick today: over 18.5 disposals that pays $159 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
21.4 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.7% · the book's price implies 62.9% · gap +8.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 15 Mar, 3:15 PM AEDT
Jack Macrae
over 18.5 disposals
Disposals Over 18.5 -169 (1.59) · $100→$159
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.90 Odds-169
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Macrae is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:49PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.7%—62.9%1.39+8.8%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Macrae (St Kilda) Over 18.5 Disposals (-169)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to picking a player prop bet, Jack Macrae is a standout choice for the 'Disposals Over' market against Melbourne. Macrae has been a midfield maestro, averaging 19 disposals in his last five away games. His ability to find space and rack up possessions is unmatched, especially considering his 75.9% disposal efficiency. Facing Melbourne, where he has historically averaged 34 disposals, Macrae is poised to dominate the midfield battle. With a current hit rate of 8 out of his last 10 away games, Macrae consistently delivers when the pressure is on. So, expect him to surpass the 18.5 disposals line comfortably and be a pivotal figure in the Saints' quest for victory at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Jack Macrae averaged 18.4 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

18.4
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.4
Marks
3.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Jack Macrae recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn7014
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS23027
18 Aug 24North Melbourne17261
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats3012
13 Jul 24Carlton21033
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide16033
29 Jun 24North Melbourne18032
15 Jun 24Fremantle19023
7 Jun 24Brisbane Lions20041
31 May 24Collingwood19274
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 18.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 17.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 16.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jack Macrae (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Macrae is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.8% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 15 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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