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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Macrae is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 88 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 88%, implied 85%, edge +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 1:20AM UTC
AFL

Jack Macrae

St Kilda

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+2.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 15 Mar, 4:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
21.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 88.0% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +2.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals88.0%85.5%1.14+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Macrae (St Kilda) Over 15.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

In this upcoming clash between the Melbourne Demons and the St Kilda Saints, all eyes are on the midfield maestro, Jack Macrae. With his recent form painting a picture of dominance, Macrae's ability to impact the game is undeniable. Over his last five away games, he's been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 19 possessions per outing. Against this week's opponent and overall, his average disposals sit comfortably at 34 and 30.2, respectively. Jack Macrae's precision with the footy is evident, boasting a commendable disposal efficiency of 75.9% on the road. Add in his knack for finding space to gather uncontested possessions and his consistent ability to cover ground with an average of 170.6 meters gained per game, and the Over 15.5 disposals line seems well within reach for this midfield marvel. With a track record of hitting the mark 18 times out of his last 20 away games, Macrae is poised to continue his midfield mastery, making the Over a solid play for astute punters.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Macrae averaged 18.4 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

18.4
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.4
Marks
3.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Jack Macrae recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn7014
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS23027
18 Aug 24North Melbourne17261
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats3012
13 Jul 24Carlton21033
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide16033
29 Jun 24North Melbourne18032
15 Jun 24Fremantle19023
7 Jun 24Brisbane Lions20041
31 May 24Collingwood19274
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Macrae (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Macrae is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 15 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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