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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Macrae is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
AFL

Jack Macrae

St Kilda

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -588 (1.17)
+2.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 15 Mar, 4:15AM
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Model Probability
88.0%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
21.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals88.0%85.5%1.14+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Macrae (St Kilda) Over 15.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

In this upcoming clash between the Melbourne Demons and the St Kilda Saints, all eyes are on the midfield maestro, Jack Macrae. With his recent form painting a picture of dominance, Macrae's ability to impact the game is undeniable. Over his last five away games, he's been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 19 possessions per outing. Against this week's opponent and overall, his average disposals sit comfortably at 34 and 30.2, respectively. Jack Macrae's precision with the footy is evident, boasting a commendable disposal efficiency of 75.9% on the road. Add in his knack for finding space to gather uncontested possessions and his consistent ability to cover ground with an average of 170.6 meters gained per game, and the Over 15.5 disposals line seems well within reach for this midfield marvel. With a track record of hitting the mark 18 times out of his last 20 away games, Macrae is poised to continue his midfield mastery, making the Over a solid play for astute punters.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
16.3avg disposals recent
Season best30
Disposals last 10avg 16.3 · hi 23 · lo 3
192019181621317237

Jack Macrae has a disposals high of 30 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Macrae (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Macrae is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 15 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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