Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Oliver Dempsey is a solid bet to score anytime in the Geelong vs. St Kilda matchup. With an average of 0.8 goals in his last 5 home games and facing St Kilda, against whom he averages 3 goals in his last 5 home games, Dempsey's scoring potential is evident. Despite a slight inconsistency with 1.2 behinds per game, his recent goal accuracy of 38.3% at home is promising. With an average of 2 shots on goal and 5 score involvements per game, Dempsey is actively involved in creating and finishing scoring opportunities. Considering his recent form, matchup history, and overall involvement, the model's prediction of 1.2 goals for Dempsey provides a strong rationale for this bet.

Brad Close (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-196)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brad Close is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With a solid average of 0.8 goals in his last 5 home games and an impressive 60.0% goal accuracy overall, Close has been consistently involved in scoring opportunities. Against St Kilda, he has maintained a high average of 1 goal in their recent encounters. Additionally, Close averages 1.4 shots at goal and 4.4 score involvements per home game, indicating his active presence in the forward line. With the model predicting him to score and showing a significant edge of 7.6%, Close's recent goal-scoring proficiency and involvement make him a favorable choice to snag a goal in this matchup at GMHBA Stadium.

Rowan Marshall (St Kilda) Over 14.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Rowan Marshall, on a hot streak with 6 consecutive hits, averages 20.2 disposals in his last 5 away games and excels against Geelong with a 24.2 disposal average. With a model predicting him to hit 19.2 disposals, a 4.3% edge, and strong recent form, taking the Over 14.5 disposals bet on Marshall seems solid. His consistent contested possessions (10.2), kicks (13.8), and metres gained (272.4) further support his potential to surpass the line. Marshall's reliable disposal efficiency (63.2%) and interception ability (3.2) add to his value. Expect him to snag enough possessions to comfortably exceed the line in this matchup.

Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tom Atkins is poised to shine in this home game against St Kilda based on his recent form. With a solid average of 19.2 disposals in his last 5 home games and a strong 18.5 disposals average against St Kilda, Atkins consistently meets and exceeds the 14.5 disposal line. His impressive disposalefficiency of 69.9% and a streak of 7 successful games hitting over 14.5 disposals further support this bet. Additionally, his overall hit rate of 14/14 and a current hit streak of 14 demonstrate his reliability. Expect Atkins to continue his strong performance, making the Over 14.5 disposals bet a valuable proposition for this matchup.

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