Callum Wilkie (St Kilda) Under 23.5 Disposals (-110)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to Callum Wilkie hitting the Under 23.5 disposals mark against the Geelong Cats, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Wilkie has averaged 18.6 disposals, falling below the 23.5 line. Facing Geelong, he averages 13.5 disposals in their last five encounters. Wilkie's recent form has been solid but not exceptional, with 80.9% disposal efficiency and 302.8 meters gained per game. The model projecting him at 20.7 disposals, coupled with his trend of hitting the under in away games, makes this a smart play. With his current hit streak at one and a hit rate of 4/5 in away games, Wilkie appears poised to fall short of the 23.5 disposals threshold once more.