Callum Wilkie (St Kilda) Under 23.5 Disposals (-114)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Callum Wilkie, the St Kilda defender, faces a tough challenge away at GMHBA Stadium against the Geelong Cats. Wilkie's recent form, averaging 18.6 disposals in his last five away games, falls just short of the bookies' line of 23.5. Despite a solid 80.9% disposal efficiency, his average of 13.2 kicks and 5.4 handballs might not be enough to reach the line against a strong Geelong midfield.
Moreover, in his last five encounters against Geelong, Wilkie has only managed an average of 13.5 disposals. With his overall disposals average at a promising 25.2, recent trends suggest he might struggle to hit the mark against this particular opponent.
Considering his hit rate and the matchup dynamics, backing Wilkie to stay under 23.5 disposals seems like a smart play for this Thursday night clash.