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AFL

Callum Wilkie

St Kilda

+16.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 23.5 -112 (1.89)
+16.0% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 14 Jun, 5:15AM
Model Probability
68.9%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+16.0%
Predicted Value
21.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Callum Wilkie (St Kilda) Under 23.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to the St Kilda Saints' clash against the Greater Western Sydney Giants, Callum Wilkie stands out as a prime candidate for an 'Under 23.5 Disposals' bet. Wilkie's recent form at home reveals an average of 24.6 disposals over the last five games, with a consistent contested possession rate of 7 per game. However, facing the Giants, he has historically recorded lower disposal numbers, averaging just 17 against them. His L5 turnover average of 2.4 and the Giants' ability to apply pressure could further hinder his possession count. With a model prediction of 21.1 and a 16.0% edge, the stats align for Wilkie to fall short of the 23.5 mark in this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
13 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 17.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
13 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Callum Wilkie (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Callum Wilkie is Under 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.0% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 14 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.