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AFL

Zach Guthrie

Geelong Cats

+0.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -357 (1.28)
+0.3% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Sat 7 Jun, 6:15AM
Model Probability
78.4%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
18.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Zach Guthrie (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Zach Guthrie is poised to surpass the 14.5 disposals mark in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Gold Coast Suns match. With a model-predicted 18.5 disposals and a recent average of 18.8 disposals in his last five home games, Guthrie demonstrates consistency in meeting and exceeding this line. His strong form is further evidenced by his impressive metrics in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained. Additionally, with a high disposalefficiency average of 85.3%, Guthrie showcases his ability to make effective use of his possessions. Considering his recent performances, home advantage, and a favorable matchup against Gold Coast, the data supports a solid rationale for Guthrie to deliver over 14.5 disposals in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (40 picks) 62.5% (25/40)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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