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AFL

Zach Guthrie

Geelong Cats

+0.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -250 (1.40)
+0.1% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 12 Jun, 9:40AM
Model Probability
71.5%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
18.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Zach Guthrie (Geelong Cats) Over 15.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, when it comes to Friday night footy, all eyes are on Zach Guthrie of the Geelong Cats. This young gun has been lighting it up on his home turf, averaging a whopping 20.4 disposals in his last 5 games at GMHBA Stadium. With a recent hit rate of 4/4 at home, his form is red hot. Facing the Gold Coast Suns, a team he’s historically dominated with an average of 16 disposals in their previous encounters, Guthrie is poised to shine once again. His sharp disposal efficiency of 84.9% and ability to rack up both kicks (12.4) and handballs (8) make him a prime candidate to surpass the 15.5 disposals line. Backed by solid recent performance metrics and a favorable matchup, Guthrie looks set to snag plenty of possessions and help punters cash in on the 'Player Disposals Over' market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals 13.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Zach Guthrie (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Zach Guthrie is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Geelong Cats on Friday 12 June at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.