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AFL

Zach Guthrie

Geelong Cats

+0.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -256 (1.39)
+0.2% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
72.1%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
16.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Zach Guthrie (Geelong Cats) Over 13.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to the Geelong Cats hosting the Adelaide Crows at GMHBA Stadium, Zach Guthrie emerges as a standout pick for the 'Player Disposals Over' market. Over his last five home games, Guthrie has been a midfield stalwart, averaging 16.2 disposals, showcasing his ability to find the footy consistently. Facing the Crows, he's maintained a high disposal average of 16.7, highlighting his reliability against this opponent. Guthrie's recent form is solid, boasting an impressive 82.5% disposal efficiency and a knack for gaining meters. With his current hit streak of 8 at home and 9 overall, Guthrie is in prime position to eclipse the 13.5 disposal line, offering a solid betting opportunity for footy fans looking to back a player in fine touch.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals 13.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Zach Guthrie (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Zach Guthrie is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.