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AFL

Mitch Owens

St Kilda

+9.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -500 (1.20)
+9.1% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 14 Jun, 5:15AM
Model Probability
92.4%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+9.1%
Predicted Value
1.6 Goals

AI Analysis

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Mitch Owens (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Mitch Owens snagging goals, the numbers paint a promising picture. Owens has been on a tear in his last five home games, averaging 1 goal per match, showcasing his ability to hit the scoreboard consistently. His recent goal accuracy of 26.7% may seem modest, but his knack for being involved in scoring plays with an average of 4.4 score involvements per game highlights his impact within the forward line. Facing off against the Greater Western Sydney Giants, a team he has historically performed well against with an average of 0.5 goals per game, Owens seems poised to capitalize on his current form. With a streak of 11 consecutive games finding the big sticks at home and a solid overall hit rate, backing Owens to kick over 0.5 goals in this matchup at Marvel Stadium looks like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 9.5 Over -270 ✗ MISS
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending

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About This Player

Mitch Owens (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Mitch Owens is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 14 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.