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AFL

Mitch Owens

St Kilda

+2.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -256 (1.39)
+2.2% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 18 Apr, 9:35AM
Model Probability
74.1%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
12.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Mitch Owens (St Kilda) Over 9.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mitch Owens is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against the Adelaide Crows at the Adelaide Oval. Over his last five away games, Owens has been a disposal machine, averaging a solid 13 disposals per game, comfortably surpassing the set line of 9.5. His exceptional form is highlighted by his impressive disposalefficiency of 74.4% and ability to cover the ground with an average of 203.8 meters gained per game. Facing the Crows, Owens has historically performed well, averaging 8.5 disposals in their previous encounters. With an overall hit rate of 17 out of his last 20 games, including an 8 out of 9 streak in away games, Owens is a reliable bet to continue his impressive disposals tally. Backing Mitch Owens to go Over 9.5 disposals is a smart move given his recent form and historical performance against the Crows.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 83.3% (5/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 9.5 Over -270 ✗ MISS
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 9.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Goals — — — Pending
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending
27 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mitch Owens (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 83.3% (5/6). The latest model pick for Mitch Owens is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 18 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.