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AFL

Mitch Owens

St Kilda

+2.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -256 (1.39)
+2.2% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 15 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
74.1%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
12.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Mitch Owens (St Kilda) Over 9.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL betting, finding an edge is crucial. Mitch Owens seems primed to deliver in the disposals department against the Melbourne Demons. In his last 5 away games, Owens has been a ball magnet, averaging 13.2 disposals, comfortably surpassing the 9.5 line. His recent form against Melbourne and overall averages of 11.6 disposals suggest he thrives in similar matchups. Owens' efficiency, contested possessions, and ability to cover ground with 223.4 meters gained per game make him a reliable bet to snag those crucial touches. With a current hit streak of 6 in away games and a stellar 15/17 hit rate overall, Owens is poised to split the middle on this prop bet. Trust in his consistency and watch him rack up the possessions at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 60.0% (30/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 9.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 9.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 9.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending

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