On Tuesday 29 September 2026, Fulham play Hull City in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Hull City Moneyline, priced at +410 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Fulham vs Hull City: Hull City Moneyline (+410)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Fulham hosts Hull City, it’s a compelling matchup that tips in favor of the visitors. Fulham’s recent struggles at home—just one win in their last five—coupled with a meager scoring average of 1.4 goals per game, paints a troubling picture. Meanwhile, Hull City has shown resilience, securing two wins out of their last five overall, and they’ve averaged a solid 1.4 goals per game on the road. What’s particularly telling is Hull’s defensive form; they've conceded just 0.8 goals per match in their last five, indicating they can contain Fulham’s attack. With Fulham’s high average of 10 fouls and lack of creativity reflected in only 0.2 assists per game, it’s hard to see them breaking through Hull’s defense effectively. Given Hull's winning history against Fulham and their current form, backing the Tigers for the win seems the way to go.

Fulham vs Hull City: Hull City +2.5 Goal Handicap (-714)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Fulham prepares to host Hull City, the recent form points strongly in favor of the visitors. Fulham's home record shows a troubling trend, managing just one win in their last five outings while conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. Their xG stats are equally alarming—scoring just 1.4 at home, with an xG of zero in their last five matches. On the flip side, Hull has been resilient on the road, averaging 1.4 goals per game away from home and demonstrating a solid defensive record against Fulham, who they’ve beaten twice recently. With Hull generating more shots and maintaining a better overall momentum, their odds to cover the alternate handicap of 2.5 appear promising. Given Fulham's struggles and Hull’s current form, backing Hull City makes perfect sense here.

That is how our model reads Fulham v Hull City. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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