On Thursday 1 October 2026, Chelsea play Bournemouth in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Bournemouth Draw No Bet, priced at +250 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Chelsea prepares to face Bournemouth this Saturday, their recent home form could be a concern. With a mixed record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five at Stamford Bridge, they’ve shown vulnerability, particularly against teams they should typically dominate. Bournemouth, while struggling away lately, has managed a respectable 1.4 goals per game on the road, and their xG numbers suggest they can create chances. In head-to-head matchups, Bournemouth has historically held their ground, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters. Given Chelsea's inconsistency and Bournemouth’s potential to surprise, placing a Draw No Bet on Bournemouth feels enticing. With the odds reflecting a healthy value, it’s a chance to capitalize on a Chelsea side that can be shaky, especially when the pressure mounts. Don't overlook Bournemouth's ability to snatch a point or more here.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Bournemouth +1.5 Goal Handicap (-250)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Chelsea gears up to host Bournemouth, the recent form suggests an intriguing bet on Bournemouth covering the 1.5-goal handicap. Chelsea's home performances have been shaky, posting a 2-1-2 record in their last five, while Bournemouth, despite their struggles away, has shown resilience against the Blues, going 0-3-2 in their last five matchups but keeping things close. Chelsea averages a mere 1.8 goals at home, while allowing 2.0, signaling defensive vulnerabilities. Bournemouth, although they’ve only managed to score 1.4 goals away, have tightened up recently, showcasing a solid xG performance that hints at potential improvement. With Chelsea facing mounting pressure and Bournemouth looking to seize opportunities, it’s reasonable to expect the Cherries to at least stay within a goal, making the +1.5 handicap a savvy play in this matchup.
That is how our model reads Chelsea v Bournemouth. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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