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Soccer

Chelsea

Next game: Chelsea play at Sunderland on Sunday 8 November. The market makes Chelsea close to a coin flip to win, a fair price of about $2.07, and a draw about a 3 in 10 chance. 7 of Chelsea's last 10 league games had over 2.5 goals. See the game preview

Won-drawn-lost5-1-3
At home3-1-1
Goals a game2.11
Last 5LWWLW
Next Game: vs Sunderland (Away) Sun 8 Nov, 2:00 PM UK time Stadium of Light, Sunderland · Outdoor Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Chelsea at Sunderland
Over 2.5 total goals
Over 2.5 Total Goals
LEAN
Our numbers say this wins about 54 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $181 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$18.10 Odds-123
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 54% chance to land; the price says about 53%. That gap is why it made the board.

+5.6%
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Model updated Nov 7, 4:23AM UTC
Answer
The Chelsea model is leaning the over in the Total Goals market vs Sunderland.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Total GoalsWith Pro
Draw No BetWith Pro
Both Teams to ScoreWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
SpreadWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Chelsea about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Sunderlandabout 3 in 10$3.91$3.90
Drawabout 3 in 10$3.81$3.75
Chelseaabout 5 in 10$2.07$2.00

On this match the bookies keep about $5.90 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 54 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Chelsea fixtures and results, 2026-27

Results
DateOpponentResultOver 2.5 goalsBoth teams scoredGame
Mon 24 Augat FulhamW 3-2YesYesGame page
Sun 30 Augvs Brighton and Hove AlbionW 4-3YesYes–
Sun 6 Sepat ArsenalL 1-2YesYesGame page
Sat 12 Sepvs Hull CityD 2-2YesYes–
Fri 18 Sepat BrentfordL 0-3YesNoGame page
Sat 10 Octvs BournemouthW 5-1YesYesGame page
Sat 17 Octat EvertonW 2-0NoNoGame page
Sat 24 Octvs Tottenham HotspurL 0-2NoNoGame page
Sat 31 Octvs Manchester UnitedW 2-0NoNoGame page

Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often Chelsea games have goals

Team history

In 2025-26, 25 of Chelsea's 38 league games had over 2.5 goals (11 of 19 at home), and both teams scored in 24. So far in 2026-27: 6 of 9 had over 2.5 goals.

SeasonOver 2.5 goals at homeOver 2.5 goals awayOver 2.5 goals, allBoth teams scoredResults
2026-273 of 53 of 46 of 95 of 95 won, 1 drew, 3 lost
2025-2611 of 1914 of 1925 of 3824 of 3814 won, 10 drew, 14 lost
2024-2511 of 1910 of 1921 of 3822 of 3820 won, 9 drew, 9 lost
2023-2412 of 1915 of 1927 of 3825 of 3818 won, 9 drew, 11 lost
2022-237 of 199 of 1916 of 3818 of 3811 won, 11 drew, 16 lost
2021-2210 of 1910 of 1920 of 3819 of 3821 won, 11 drew, 6 lost
2020-218 of 199 of 1917 of 3816 of 3819 won, 10 drew, 9 lost
2019-209 of 1916 of 1925 of 3822 of 3820 won, 6 drew, 12 lost
What do these numbers mean?

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the game. Both teams scored means each side scored at least once. Complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Chelsea injuries

Updated 6 Nov
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Aaron AnselminoDEFInjured––
Jamie Bynoe-GittensMIDInjured––
Jorrel HatoDEFInjured––
João Pedro Junqueira de JesusFWDInjured––
Maxence LacroixDEFInjured––
Reece JamesDEFInjured––
Emiliano Martínez RomeroGKDoubtful––
Jordan HendersonMIDDoubtful––
Moisés Caicedo CorozoMIDDoubtful––

Betting angles

2 markets live
Moneylinevs Sunderland (A)No line posted
8-5-7W-D-L, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.3GA/g1.2
Last 10 results6 W / 10

Chelsea have gone 8-5-7 over their last 20 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 goals per game.

Both Teams to Scorevs Sunderland (A)-149
61%model both-score %
50%both teams scored, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.3GA/g1.2
Both scored (last 10)3 / 10 both scored

Both teams have scored in 50% of Chelsea's last 20 matches; our model makes both teams scoring 61% here.

Total Goalsvs Sunderland (A)Over +2.5 -123
59%model over %
55%over 2.5, last 20 2024-25
Avg goals2.5
Over 2.5 (last 10)4 / 10 over

Over 2.5 goals landed in 55% of Chelsea's last 20 matches (avg 2.5 goals); the model prices Over at 59% here.

Latest match preview

Chelsea's latest Bet Better match preview covers Sunderland vs Chelsea, with model predictions and a same-game parlay breakdown.

Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: Analytics Breakdown

Sunderland v Chelsea, 7 November 2026. Top of the list: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Our model likes 3 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

Player Directory

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Questions about Chelsea

When do Chelsea play next?

Chelsea play at Sunderland on Sunday 8 November 2026.

How often do Chelsea games have over 2.5 goals?

In 2025-26, 25 of Chelsea's 38 league games had over 2.5 goals (11 of 19 at home). So far in 2026-27: 6 of 9 had over 2.5 goals.

How often do both teams score in Chelsea games?

In 2025-26, both teams scored in 24 of Chelsea's 38 league games.

Who is injured for Chelsea?

9 players are on the injury list as of 6 November: Aaron Anselmino, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Jorrel Hato, João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus, Maxence Lacroix, and 4 more.

Where can I see Chelsea's next game preview?

Bet Better's Sunderland vs Chelsea game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Chelsea are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. Their next game is against Sunderland on Sunday 8 November at Stadium of Light. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Chelsea.

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