Soccer
Chelsea
Chelsea play Bournemouth at home on Sat 10 Oct, and our model’s free pick for that game is below with every past Chelsea pick graded underneath it.
Next Game:
vs Bournemouth (Home)
Sat 10 Oct, 2:00PM
Stamford Bridge, London · Outdoor
The recordOur formula’s best Soccer market: soccer draw no bet calls · 96 of 198 · +$1,508Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Model updated Sep 26, 6:56PM UTC
Answer
The Chelsea model is leaning the under in the Total Goals market vs Bournemouth.
model hit rate 59.8% across 97 settled Chelsea picks · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team
The model picked today's free one for you. Unlock its full write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.
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| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Spread | With Pro |
| Draw No Bet | With Pro |
| Spread | With Pro |
| Draw No Bet | With Pro |
| Total Goals | With Pro |
| Head to Head (3-Way) | With Pro |
| Moneyline | With Pro |
| Spread | With Pro |
| Both Teams to Score | With Pro |
| Moneyline | With Pro |
| Head to Head (3-Way) | With Pro |
| Head to Head (3-Way) | With Pro |
| Moneyline | With Pro |
The model has graded 13 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.
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Player availability is not tracked for Soccer. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
Betting angles
2 markets liveMoneylinevs Everton (A)No line posted 8-5-7W-D-L, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.3GA/g1.2
Chelsea have gone 8-5-7 over their last 20 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 goals per game.
Both Teams to Scorevs Everton (A)-152 61%model both-score %
50%both teams scored, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.3GA/g1.2
Both scored (last 10)3 / 10 both scored
Both teams have scored in 50% of Chelsea's last 20 matches; our model makes both teams scoring 61% here.
Total Goalsvs Everton (A)Under +1.5 +350 55%over 2.5, last 20 2024-25
Avg goals2.5
Over 2.5 (last 10)4 / 10 over
Over 2.5 goals landed in 55% of Chelsea's last 20 matches (avg 2.5 goals); the model prices Under at 24% here.
Latest match preview
Chelsea's latest Bet Better match preview covers Chelsea vs Bournemouth, with model predictions and a same-game parlay breakdown.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: High-Value Opportunity
Chelsea v Bournemouth, 26 September 2026. Top of the list: Bournemouth +0.75 Goal Handicap. Our model likes 2 bets in this game.
Chelsea are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. The model has hit at a rate of 59.8% on tracked Chelsea picks. The market where Chelsea picks have landed most often is Total Goals (81% hit) — a hit rate, not a measure of profit. Their next game is against Bournemouth on Saturday 10 October at Stamford Bridge. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Chelsea.