Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns Same Game Multi Tips & Prediction

Rayner is on a four-game hit streak for this line and has cleared it in four of his last four overall — that kind of consistency is exactly what you want when backing a player to kick at least one. At home the numbers are even cleaner: he's averaging 1.2 goals and 1.6 shots at goal across his last five home games, converting at 50%, and he's hit this line in three of his last four at the Gabba. The model projects him at exactly 1 goal against a line of 0.5, which is a comfortable buffer given the underlying volume — 3.4 inside-50s and 7.2 score involvements per home game suggest he's regularly in the right spots. The model edge here is slim at 0.1%, and the $1.38 implies 72.5% probability, so this isn't a value screamer — but the hit rate and home form make it a sensible inclusion in any multi.

Christian Petracca (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-161)

Petracca's overall hit rate of 10 from his last 14 games (71%) clearing the single-goal mark is the headline figure here, sitting comfortably above the 61.7% implied probability baked into the $1.62 price. That's where the 7.6% model edge lives, and it's a meaningful gap. The model projects him at exactly 1.0 goals, so the over 0.5 line is essentially asking him to do what he's done in nearly three-quarters of recent outings. The away numbers are the honest caveat — his L5 away goals average drops to 0.4 and goal accuracy is just 16.7% on the road — but his L5 record against Brisbane specifically tells a better story, averaging 1.0 goals away and 1.2 overall in those matchups. He's generating 2.2 shots at goal per away game, meaning the chances are presenting; he just needs one to go through the big sticks.