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Model picks & player props
MLB
Chase Field, Phoenix
Indoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
VS
Arizona Diamondbacks

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks and backs Over 4.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $191.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 4.5 total runs 1st 5 innings
Over 4.5 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.4%
The price says52.9%

The model graded 70 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 4:16 PM ET at Chase Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 High60% chance -110
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean50% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean48% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only High78% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean54% chance Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Highup to 90% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 4 props Highup to 85% Members
Batter - Walks × 11 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 79% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Highup to 90% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 2 props Highup to 67% Members
Batter - Hits × 6 props Highup to 73% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026: Cincinnati Reds won 11-5. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings
Over
4.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 75,033+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Julian Garcia RPOut
  • Dane Myers CFOut

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Corbin Carroll RFOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
Availability updated Nov 6, 10:51PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Mitch Bratt Pitcher - Strikeouts
Rhett Lowder CIN Pitcher - Walks
Michael Soroka WSN Pitcher - Walks
Mitch Bratt Pitcher - Walks
Jordan Lawlar Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineArizona DiamondbacksNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks spread form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted
6.7runs we expect
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent results

Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5 games; Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5.

Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L7–10SDAway
L4–9SDAway
W11–4SDAway
W5–3COLAway
W12–8COLAway
Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5TORAway
W5–1TORAway
L5–6TORAway
W7–6ATLAway
L2–3ATLAway

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 1.0 runs per game (1-4) while Cincinnati Reds are at 3.4 (2-3); Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Cincinnati Reds.

1.0
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
3.4
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
Last 5 gamesArizona DiamondbacksCincinnati Reds
Runs / game1.03.4
Hits / game2.62.8
Home runs / game0.20.8
Walks drawn / game0.81.6
Batter K / game1.23.0
Earned runs allowed / game2.02.2
Pitching K / game2.01.0
Walks allowed / game1.21.8
L5 record1-42-3

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Arizona Diamondbacks won 5, Cincinnati Reds won 3.

DateArizona DiamondbacksCincinnati RedsWinner
Aug 23511Cincinnati Reds
Aug 2353Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 2290Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 1453Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 1312Cincinnati Reds
Jun 1252Arizona Diamondbacks
Mar 16116Arizona Diamondbacks
Mar 8413Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Corbin Carroll RFOUT
Cristian Mena RPOUT
Andrew Saalfrank RPOUT
Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Julian Garcia RPOUT
Dane Myers CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks — model preview

Our Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds: Over 5.5 Total Runs (-435), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Diamondbacks, or as Diamondbacks vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Chase Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 23 Aug 2026Arizona Diamondbacks beat Cincinnati Reds 5-3 at home
  • 22 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds beat Arizona Diamondbacks 11-5 on the road
  • 21 Aug 2026Arizona Diamondbacks beat Cincinnati Reds 9-0 at home

Cincinnati Reds: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Lostat Toronto Blue Jays 1-5
  2. 26 Sep 2026Wonat Toronto Blue Jays 5-1
  3. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Toronto Blue Jays 5-6
  4. 24 Sep 2026Wonat Atlanta Braves 7-6
  5. 23 Sep 2026Lostat Atlanta Braves 2-3

Arizona Diamondbacks: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 4-9
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 7-10
  3. 25 Sep 2026Wonat San Diego Padres 11-4
  4. 24 Sep 2026Wonat Colorado Rockies 12-8
  5. 23 Sep 2026Wonat Colorado Rockies 5-3

Quick answers

Who won the last Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds game? Arizona Diamondbacks won their last meeting 5-3 on 23 August 2026.

How have Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks done lately? Cincinnati Reds won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Arizona Diamondbacks won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks: the season so far

From every final score this season

Cincinnati Reds are 75-87 this season and Arizona Diamondbacks are 86-76. Arizona Diamondbacks are 45-36 at home. Cincinnati Reds are 37-44 on the road. Arizona Diamondbacks score 4.6 runs a game and let in 4.5. Cincinnati Reds score 4.1 and let in 5.1. Arizona Diamondbacks games have averaged 9.1 runs in total; Cincinnati Reds games have averaged 9.2.

SeasonCincinnati RedsArizona Diamondbacks
Won-lost75-8786-76
At home38-4345-36
On the road37-4441-40
Last 104-66-4
Runs scored a game4.14.6
Runs let in a game5.14.5
Runs scored at home4.04.6
Runs scored away4.24.5
Against winning sides36-5233-39
Current runLost 1Lost 2
Biggest win15-1 vs Washington Nationals15-5 vs Athletics
Heaviest loss20-0 at Milwaukee Brewers17-2 vs Atlanta Braves

Teams they have both played

  • Against San Diego Padres: Arizona Diamondbacks lost 4-9 on the road; Cincinnati Reds won 7-3 at home.
  • Against Colorado Rockies: Arizona Diamondbacks won 12-8 on the road; Cincinnati Reds won 9-6 on the road.
  • Against New York Yankees: Arizona Diamondbacks won 8-4 at home; Cincinnati Reds won 4-1 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Arizona Diamondbacks doing this season? Arizona Diamondbacks are 86-76 this season: 45-36 at home and 41-40 on the road.

How many runs do Cincinnati Reds score a game? Cincinnati Reds score 4.1 runs a game this season and let in 5.1, across 162 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks head-to-head record

Final scores · 34 meetings on record
Arizona Diamondbacks 17–16 across the last 34 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 10.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 23 Aug 2026, Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks: the Reds won 11-5.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–11Cincinnati Reds
22 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks9–0Arizona Diamondbacks
21 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks9–0Arizona Diamondbacks
14 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds3–5Arizona Diamondbacks
13 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds2–1Cincinnati Reds
12 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds2–5Arizona Diamondbacks
16 Mar 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks11–6Arizona Diamondbacks
8 Mar 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds13–4Cincinnati Reds
24 Aug 2025Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks1–6Cincinnati Reds
23 Aug 2025Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks10–1Arizona Diamondbacks

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 34 meetings on file.

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