Brad Close Over 0.5 Goals (Geelong Cats)
Probability
71.6%
Edge
19.6%
Best Odds
-109
Brad Close (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-109)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Brad Close is poised to snag a goal against Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 0.8 goals in his last five home games and facing a team against which he averages 0.4 goals at home, Close has shown consistency. His 28.3% goal accuracy and 3 shots at goal per game further support his scoring potential. Additionally, his average of 1.6 marks inside 50 and 8.6 score involvements per game highlight his attacking impact. Considering his recent performance and the model's prediction of 0.9 goals, Close's goal-scoring ability is well-founded. Betting on him to score anytime offers value with a 19.6% edge, making him a solid pick for this market.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)
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Shannon Neale is a strong bet to score anytime in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game due to his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and a high goal accuracy of 60.0%, Neale consistently finds the big sticks. His involvement in the Cats' scoring plays is evident with a solid score involvements average of 4.4. Additionally, his ability to take marks inside 50, averaging 2.2, and his frequent shots at goal, averaging 2.6, showcase his attacking threat. Facing the Lions at home, where he has been even more prolific with a 0.7 average against this opponent, Neale is poised to snag a goal, making the Over 0.5 goal scorer bet enticing.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Levi Ashcroft (Brisbane Lions) Over 14.5 Disposals (-111)
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Levi Ashcroft's recent form, averaging 16.6 disposals in away games and facing an opponent where he averages 18 disposals, supports taking the Over 14.5 disposal line. His consistent contested possessions (5.6) and efficient disposal rate (65.0%) enhance his chances of meeting or exceeding the model's 17.2 prediction. With a positive model edge of 17.9% and a strong trend of hitting over 14.5 disposals in 11 out of his last 14 away games, Ashcroft is poised to contribute significantly in the midfield battle against Geelong Cats. This bet capitalizes on his reliability and the favorable matchup dynamics.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 23.5 Disposals (-122)
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Max Holmes is poised to shine in this matchup based on his recent form. With a solid average of 28.8 disposals in his last five home games and facing an opponent he's historically outperformed with a 23.8 average, Holmes is set to surpass the bookmaker's line of 23.5 disposals. His impressive 17.5% model edge further solidifies this bet. Holmes' consistent hit rates, including a 5/6 record in recent home games and 6/8 overall, demonstrate his reliability in meeting or exceeding this line. Additionally, playing at home boosts his performance, making the Over 23.5 disposals bet on Max Holmes a strong choice for this AFL clash.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-256)
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Hugh McCluggage is a strong bet to surpass 19.5 disposals against Geelong Cats. With a model-predicted 25.7 disposals and a 17.4% edge, his recent form supports this. In his last five away games, McCluggage has averaged 28.2 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. Additionally, his high disposalefficiency of 67.2% and consistent performance in contestedpossessions, handballs, kicks, and metres gained further reinforce his ability to hit this mark. Facing Geelong, he averages 20.4 disposals away and 23.8 overall, suggesting a favorable matchup for him to shine. McCluggage's impressive hit rates and streaks add confidence to this bet, making the Over an enticing option for this AFL showdown.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 11.5 Disposals (-115)
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Jack Martin is poised to shine in disposals against Brisbane Lions. His recent stats, especially averaging 13.8 disposals in the last 5 home games and 16.5 against Brisbane, indicate his capability to surpass the 11.5 line. With a model prediction of 14.2 and a strong 17.4% edge, Martin's consistency, evidenced by hitting 4/5 in recent games, makes him a solid bet. His proficiency, with a 76.0% disposalefficiency, and ability to gain significant metres (268.4 avg) further support this bet. Playing at home adds to his advantage, making the Over 11.5 disposals for Jack Martin a favorable wager.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Spread
Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Geelong Cats -12.5 (-110)
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Geelong Cats' dominant home form, averaging a 45.2-point margin and 117.6 points scored in their last five home games, contrasts with Brisbane Lions' away struggles, with only a 2.6-point average margin and 84.2 points scored in their last five away matches. Geelong's ability to generate more inside 50s and shots at goal further supports their scoring potential. With a solid defensive record and Brisbane's lower scoring output, Geelong is favored to cover the -12.5 spread. The model's prediction aligns with Geelong's recent performance, indicating a strong chance for them to win by more than 12.5 points.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 7.5 Disposals (-109)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Shannon Neale's recent form and historical performance against Brisbane Lions indicate a strong chance of surpassing 7.5 disposals. With an average of 7.6 disposals in his last five home games and 8.3 disposals against this opponent, Neale's consistency is notable. His contested possessions and disposal efficiency, averaging 4.4 and 69.7% respectively at home, further support his ability to meet or exceed the line. Additionally, his solid metrics in kicks (4.2) and metres gained (113.2) enhance the likelihood of achieving this mark. Despite a recent hit rate of 14/20 at home, Neale's overall performance trend of 11/17 suggests a reliable foundation for this bet.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) Over 15.5 Disposals (-120)
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Shaun Mannagh is poised to excel in disposals against the Brisbane Lions at home. With a robust model prediction of 18.3 disposals and a solid 5 SD, Mannagh's recent form supports this bet. His L5 home disposals average of 20, coupled with a consistent contested possessions and kick rate, showcases his ability to surpass the 15.5 line. Mannagh's impressive disposal efficiency of 63.0% and significant metres gained bode well for meeting this target. Despite a slight dip in overall performance, Mannagh's historical hit rates and current home game streak suggest he is primed to shine with value odds at play.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals (-111)
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Tom Atkins is poised to shine in this matchup against Brisbane Lions at MCG. With a model predicting him to achieve 21 disposals, significantly above the line of 18.5, he has been consistent in recent games, averaging 20.2 disposals in his last five home games. His contested possessions and efficiency are strong, with an average of 11.8 and 67.4% respectively at home. Furthermore, his past performances against Brisbane show he is capable of surpassing the line, with an average of 16.2 disposals. Atkins' current hit rates and streaks also indicate he's in good form, making the over 18.5 disposals a favorable bet with a 16.2% model edge.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 19.5 Disposals (-116)
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Gryan Miers is a solid bet to go over 19.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions due to his recent form. With an impressive L5 average of 24.8 disposals in home games and a consistent hit rate, Miers has been a reliable ball-winner. His 14.8% model edge further supports this prediction. Additionally, Miers' high disposalefficiency of 79.3% and ability to gain meters efficiently make him a key player to back for this bet. Given his current hit streaks and overall performance, Miers is poised to continue his strong form in this home game at the MCG, making the over 19.5 disposals a favorable wager.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Tyson Stengle (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-476)
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Tyson Stengle is a solid bet to snag a goal in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions matchup based on his recent performance. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent where he has historically scored 0.8 goals on average, Stengle's goal-scoring form is promising. His average of 3.4 shots at goal and 41.3% goal accuracy at home further support his ability to find the big sticks. With an edge of 13.8% according to the model and an implied probability of 82.6%, Stengle is in a prime position to contribute to the Cats' scoreline at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-175)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Shaun Mannagh has been a standout performer at home, averaging 20 disposals over his last five games with a solid contested possession rate of 6.4. Facing the Brisbane Lions, whom he averages 13.3 disposals against, Mannagh's consistent form and ability to cover the line of 14.5 make him a strong bet. His impressive 63.0% disposal efficiency and knack for gaining meters will likely see him exceed the line comfortably. Mannagh's current hit streak of 6 at home and a perfect 10/10 overall hit rate further support his capability to meet or surpass the model's prediction of 18.3 disposals with a considerable 13.8% edge. Betting on Mannagh to go over 14.5 disposals presents a solid opportunity for this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Darcy Fort (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-116)
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Darcy Fort's recent form and historical performance against Geelong Cats support betting on him to exceed 9.5 disposals. With a solid average of 10.4 disposals in his last five away games and facing a team where he averages 12.7 disposals in the same period, Fort's consistency is notable. His overall disposals average of 11.8 and a favorable model prediction of 11.8 with a 13.6% edge add weight to this bet. Although his hit streak is currently at 0, his recent hit rate of 4/5 indicates a high probability of meeting or surpassing the line. This, along with his role in the upcoming away game, makes Fort a strong candidate to deliver on this over bet.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Bruce Reville (Brisbane Lions) Under 12.5 Disposals (-127)
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Bruce Reville is predicted to have 10.1 disposals with a model edge of 12.4% in this away game against Geelong. His recent performance, averaging 10 disposals in the last 5 away games, falls slightly below the line of 12.5. Considering his current hit streak of 1 away and 2 overall, Reville's stats suggest he may struggle to exceed the line. With his lower contested possessions and turnovers, facing a competitive Geelong Cats side, the odds favor him staying under 12.5 disposals in this matchup at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-256)
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Jack Martin is poised to exceed 9.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG based on his recent form and historical performance. With a solid L5 average of 13.8 disposals per home game and an even higher average of 16.5 disposals against the Lions, Martin has shown consistency in meeting and surpassing this line. His strong metrics in contested possessions, kicks, and uncontested possessions further support his ability to maintain possession and contribute significantly to Geelong's midfield efforts. Despite a slight dip in disposals in the last game, Martin's overall hit rate of 10/12 and previous success against Brisbane indicate a high likelihood of him achieving over 9.5 disposals in this upcoming home fixture.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 19.5 Disposals (-455)
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Max Holmes is in top form with an average of 28.8 disposals in his last five home games, well above the set line of 19.5. Facing the Brisbane Lions, he has historically averaged 23.8 disposals against them. With a model predicting 26.5 disposals and a favorable edge of 9.9%, Holmes' recent performances, high disposal efficiency (67.4%), and consistent hit rates make the Over a compelling bet. His ability to win contested possessions (10.2 average) and cover ground (668.2 meters gained) further support this wager. Holmes' current hit streaks of 11 at home and 8 overall indicate a player in peak form, making him a strong contender to surpass the set line.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-169)
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Jack Henry is poised to surpass 9.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG based on his recent performance trends. With a model prediction of 12.5 disposals and a solid 9.9% edge, Henry's consistency in contested possessions (L5 avg: 4.6) and kicks (L5 avg: 7.6) bodes well. His L5 average of 9.8 disposals at home, coupled with facing the Lions where he averages 10.8 disposals, indicates a favorable matchup. Despite a current hit streak of 0, his strong home hit rate of 16/19 adds confidence. Expect Henry to contribute significantly in a familiar home setting, making the Over a favorable bet for this AFL matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-154)
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Oliver Dempsey is poised to exceed 14.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at MCG. With a model-predicted 17.1 disposals and a substantial 9.2% edge, Dempsey's recent form bolsters this bet. Averaging 18 disposals in his last five home games and 16.7 against Brisbane, he consistently shows prowess in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained. His 68.6% disposalefficiency and ability to intercept further solidify his potential to surpass the line. Despite a current hit streak of 0, Dempsey boasts a strong hit rate of 14/20 in home games, indicating his reliability in meeting or exceeding this mark. Bet on Dempsey to shine in disposals at home.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-156)
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Jack Martin is a strong bet to snag a goal in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game. With an impressive 1.8 goals average in his last five home games, he consistently hits the scoreboard. His 73.3% goal accuracy and 2.6 shots at goal per game further support his scoring potential. Additionally, facing Brisbane, where he has averaged 0.5 goals against them at home, enhances his chances. Martin's 5.2 score involvements and 2.6 marks inside 50 show his active role in creating and finishing scoring opportunities. Given his recent form and matchup history, the model's prediction of 0.9 goals with an 8.4% edge makes Martin a reliable choice to hit the back of the net anytime.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)
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Kai Lohmann presents a strong opportunity to snag a goal in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions matchup. With an impressive average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 away games and a solid goal accuracy of 55.0%, Lohmann has been consistently impactful. His involvement in the Lions' scoring plays is evident, averaging 4.6 score involvements per game. Additionally, facing Geelong, against whom he has averaged 1.7 goals in their recent encounters, further strengthens his goal-scoring potential. With a model predicting him to score 1.4 goals, significantly above the line of 0.5, and exhibiting an 8.2% edge, betting on Lohmann to score anytime is a statistically sound choice.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Charlie Cameron (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-294)
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Charlie Cameron is a solid bet to score anytime against Geelong Cats based on his recent performance. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games and a goal accuracy of 40%, he has been consistent in finding the big sticks. His involvement in the Lions' scoring plays, averaging 4.2 score involvements and 2.4 shots at goal per game, indicates his active role in their forward line. Facing Geelong, against whom he averages 1.2 goals in his last 5 matchups, Cameron's ability to create scoring opportunities, coupled with his recent goal-scoring form, makes him a favorable bet to snag a goal in this game.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) Over 24.5 Disposals (-303)
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Bailey Smith's recent form and consistent performance make him a strong candidate to surpass the 24.5 disposals line. With a solid average of 28.4 disposals in his last five home games and facing an opponent against whom he averages 23.5 disposals, the matchup favors him. Smith's high disposal efficiency (68.8%) and ability to cover ground (576.8 meters gained average) further support this bet. His current hit streak and overall hit rate demonstrate his reliability in meeting or exceeding this mark. Considering his recent form, home advantage, and historical performance against the Brisbane Lions, backing Bailey Smith to go over 24.5 disposals seems a prudent choice for this AFL matchup at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Zac Bailey (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)
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Zac Bailey is a strong bet to score anytime against Geelong Cats based on his recent performance. With an average of 1.6 goals over his last 5 away games and a high goal accuracy of 54.7%, Bailey is in good goal-scoring form. Additionally, his average of 3.2 shots at goal and 5.8 score involvements per game indicate he is actively involved in Brisbane's attacking plays. Facing Geelong, against whom he averages 0.8 goals in away games, Bailey's goal-scoring potential is further supported. With a model predicting him to score 1.3 goals (6.4% edge), the odds are in favor of Bailey hitting the scoreboard, making him a solid choice for an anytime goal scorer bet.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-714)
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Logan Morris is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions clash. With a solid 2.4 goal average in his last five away games and facing an opponent he typically scores well against, averaging 2.7 goals in their recent matchups, Morris is in a favorable position. His impressive goal accuracy of 53.1% on average and active involvement in creating scoring opportunities, evident in his 5.4 score involvements per game, further support his goal-scoring potential. With an edge of 5.8% based on the model's prediction, Morris is poised to split the middle and deliver for Brisbane, making the Over on his anytime goal-scoring a promising bet.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Mark Blicavs (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)
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Mark Blicavs is poised to excel in disposals against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With a model prediction of 15.2 disposals and a consistent trend, Blicavs averages 17.6 disposals in his last five home games, surpassing the 9.5 line comfortably. His impressive contested possessions (9.2) and intercepts (3) stats further support his ability to meet this mark. Additionally, Blicavs boasts a high disposal efficiency (75.0%) and has shown reliability with a 12-game hit streak at home. Considering his recent consistency and the matchup's favorable dynamics, backing Blicavs to go over 9.5 disposals is a sound bet.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Gryan Miers is a solid bet to go Over 14.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at home. With a model prediction of 21.9 disposals and a 5.4% edge, Miers' recent form supports this. In his last 5 home games, he has averaged 24.8 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. His high disposalefficiency of 79.3% and consistent performance with a 10-game hit streak make this bet even more appealing. Facing the Lions, against whom he averages 20.2 disposals at home, Miers is likely to rack up possessions, making the Over a strong choice for this AFL matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-476)
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With Patrick Dangerfield's recent form averaging 1.6 goals in his last five home games, his goal-scoring prowess is evident. Averaging 2.8 shots on goal and 1.6 goals, with a 50.0% goal accuracy, he consistently threatens opposition defenses. Facing Brisbane, against whom he has averaged 0.6 goals in his last five encounters, Dangerfield's ability to convert opportunities is highlighted. Additionally, his strong average of 4.6 inside 50s and 9 score involvements further support his goal-scoring potential. Given his recent performances and the favorable matchup, the model's prediction of 1.4 goals with a 5.0% edge suggests a high likelihood of him snagging a goal, making him a compelling choice to score anytime in this AFL matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)
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Tom Atkins is a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG. The model predicts him to reach 21 disposals, indicating a 4.7% edge. In his last 5 home games, Atkins has averaged 20.2 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. He maintains high disposal efficiency (67.4%) and averages 8.8 kicks and 11.4 handballs at home. Facing the Lions, he has averaged 15.2 disposals in their recent matchups. With an impressive overall hit rate streak of 22 games and a perfect 12/12 at home, Atkins is consistent in meeting and exceeding this line, making the over a smart choice.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-455)
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Cam Rayner is a strong bet to score anytime against Geelong Cats due to his impressive recent form. With an average of 2.4 goals in his last five away games and a solid goal accuracy of 53.3%, Rayner consistently finds the big sticks. His high involvement in scoring opportunities, averaging 5 score involvements and 4.6 shots at goal per game, indicates his active role in the Lions' forward line. Additionally, his history against Geelong with an average of 1.8 goals in their matchups further supports his scoring potential. With the model predicting him to score 1.4 goals, well above the 0.5 line, this bet on Cam Rayner to snag a goal seems promising.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Josh Dunkley (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-455)
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Josh Dunkley's recent form, averaging 25.2 disposals per game, makes him a solid bet to surpass 19.5 disposals against Geelong Cats. With a strong average of 28.2 disposals in his last five games against this opponent, Dunkley thrives in these matchups. His consistency is evident with a high disposalefficiency of 70.6% and a low turnover rate of 3.6. Additionally, his ability to cover ground is showcased by averaging 244.8 metres gained. Despite a slight dip in kicks recently, his handballs and contested possessions remain robust. Dunkley's track record, especially with a high away hit rate, makes the Over 19.5 disposals a favorable bet with a model-predicted average of 24.9.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Spread
Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions 12.5 (-112)
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The bet on Brisbane Lions +12.5 is backed by their recent performance metrics. Despite Geelong Cats' strong home form with high points and margins, Brisbane Lions have shown consistency in scoring and limiting points against, especially on the road. The Lions' ability to generate points and their solid defensive record make them competitive against the Cats. With Geelong's recent average margin at 38 compared to Brisbane's 22.2, the Lions are likely to keep this game tight. Brisbane's proficiency in creating scoring opportunities, even with fewer shots on goal, indicates their capability to cover the spread in a potentially close contest at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-227)
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Darcy Wilmot is a strong pick for the Over 19.5 disposals against Geelong Cats. His recent form, averaging 21.8 disposals in away games and hitting a 100% hit rate in his last three away games, indicates he's consistently meeting and surpassing this mark. Facing Geelong, he has averaged 19 disposals in the last five matchups, suggesting he's likely to maintain his output. Wilmot's overall average of 24.6 disposals and solid performance metrics like contested possessions (6.8) and disposal efficiency (81.4%) further support his ability to exceed the set line. With a model predicting 22.5 disposals and a positive edge, the Over on Wilmot's disposals is a smart play based on his current form and historical performance against Geelong.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-323)
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Shaun Mannagh from the Geelong Cats is a strong bet to snag a goal anytime against the Brisbane Lions. With a model-predicted average of 1.1 goals and a recent average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games, Mannagh has been consistent in finding the big sticks. His impressive goal accuracy of 50.0% and involvement in scores averaging 8.6 highlight his impact in front of goal. Additionally, his average of 3.2 shots at goal per game and 1.8 marks inside 50 demonstrate his ability to create scoring opportunities. Facing an opponent where he has averaged 0.3 goals against them in his last five matchups, Mannagh is poised to continue his goal-scoring form at home.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-196)
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Connor O'Sullivan is poised to exceed 9.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. His recent form at home showcases averages well above this line, with 10.2 disposals, 7.2 kicks, and 3 handballs per game. Notably, O'Sullivan has a favorable track record against Brisbane, averaging 13 disposals against them at home. With a strong disposal efficiency of 75.2% and consistent metres gained, O'Sullivan's all-around performance bodes well for surpassing the set line. Despite a slight deviation in contested possessions, his overall game impact remains solid, making the Over 9.5 disposals a promising bet.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-175)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Callum Ah Chee's recent form indicates a strong chance of him snagging a goal against Geelong. With an average of 0.4 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he averages 1 goal in the same period, Ah Chee's goal-scoring potential is promising. Despite his low shots at goal average of 1, his consistent score involvements (4 per game) and marks inside 50 (0.6 per game) show he is actively involved in creating scoring opportunities. His overall goal accuracy of 20% and the model predicting him to score 0.8 goals provide confidence in his ability to split the middle, making the over 0.5 goals a favorable bet.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-769)
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Dayne Zorko is poised to exceed 19.5 disposals against Geelong Cats based on his recent form and matchup history. His L5 average of 25.2 disposals in away games, coupled with a strong hit streak of 3 successful over bets in away matches, suggests he is consistently surpassing this mark. Zorko's performance against Geelong specifically, with an L5 average of 24.4 disposals when playing away against them, indicates he tends to excel in this matchup. Additionally, his overall hit rate of 6/6 in surpassing the 19.5 disposal mark showcases his current reliability. With a model predicting him to reach 26.1 disposals and a slight edge in the odds, betting on Zorko to go Over 19.5 disposals seems a favorable choice.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Brandon Starcevich (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-208)
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Brandon Starcevich is poised to shine against Geelong Cats based on his recent form. With a solid 11.4 disposals per game in his last five away matches and an average of 11.8 disposals overall, he consistently meets or exceeds the 9.5 disposals line. His current hit streak of 5 and high disposalefficiency of 70.1% ensure he's a reliable performer. Starcevich's 11.8 disposals per game against this opponent further support this bet. His ability to snag 8.4 kicks and 3 handballs on average, along with 5 intercepts, positions him well to surpass the line. Trust in his form and impact to deliver over 9.5 disposals in this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Callum Ah Chee is poised to shine with his recent form and matchup against Geelong. His consistent L5 performance, averaging 14 disposals away, surpasses the set line of 9.5. Ah Chee's data against Geelong also supports this bet, as he averages 11.5 disposals in away games against them. His overall L5 stats, including a 78.8% disposal efficiency, further bolster his reliability. With a current 6-game hit streak and 3-game away hit streak, Ah Chee's form is solid. These trends, along with the model's prediction of 14.2 disposals, indicate a strong likelihood of him exceeding 9.5 disposals in this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Head to Head
Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Geelong Cats Win (-182)
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Geelong Cats are favored to win against Brisbane Lions due to their dominant form in the last 5 home games. Geelong's average margin of 45.2 and high scoring potential, averaging 117.6 points, indicate they can outscore Brisbane, who struggle defensively with 81.6 points against on average. Geelong's strong clearance and contested possession numbers, along with superior inside 50s and shots at goal, suggest they can control the game. In contrast, Brisbane's away form shows vulnerabilities in defense, lower scoring, and higher turnovers. Based on these stats, Geelong's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and control the midfield gives them an edge to secure the win in this matchup.