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Today's UFC Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Fight

Our pick for every UFC fight coming up, best first. All 12 are below, top pick free. See each fighter's chance to win on UFC odds for the next card.

12 fights coming up, and the first pick of every fight is free

Best UFC bet today: Lucia Szabová at Tainara Lisboa: Over Total Rounds 2.5 at +107, lean confidence. Tainara Lisboa fights Lucia Szabová on the UFC card on Saturday 31 October 2026. 12 games on the board.

UFC predictions for Sunday, every fight

The one we'd back first · Lucia Szabová v Tainara Lisboa
Lucia Szabová at Tainara Lisboa: Over Total Rounds 2.5 +107
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.3%
$50 returns$103.50
The rest of the cardfull reasoning on each game below
Lucia Szabová v Tainara LisboaLucia Szabová v Tainara Lisboa Lucia Szabová at Tainara Lisboa: Over Total Rounds 2.5 Lean50% chance +107
Zach Reese v Mickey GallZach Reese v Mickey Gall Zach Reese at Mickey Gall: Over Total Rounds 1.5 Lean46% chance +185
Tom Nolan v Renato MoicanoTom Nolan v Renato Moicano Tom Nolan at Renato Moicano: Tom Nolan Moneyline Lean49% chance -105
JeongYeong Lee v Julian ErosaJeongYeong Lee v Julian Erosa JeongYeong Lee at Julian Erosa: Over Total Rounds 1.5 Lean47% chance +116
Jacobe Smith v Randy BrownJacobe Smith v Randy Brown Jacobe Smith at Randy Brown: Over Total Rounds 1.5 Lean46% chance +116
Francis Marshall v Dakota HopeFrancis Marshall v Dakota Hope Francis Marshall at Dakota Hope: Under Total Rounds 2.5 Lean44% chance +136
Luana Santos v Yana SantosLuana Santos v Yana Santos Luana Santos at Yana Santos: Under Total Rounds 2.5 Long-shot38% chance +284
Talita Alencar v Piera RodriguezTalita Alencar v Piera Rodriguez Talita Alencar at Piera Rodriguez: Under Total Rounds 2.5 Long-shot39% chance +232
Nick Klein v Joe KropschotNick Klein v Joe Kropschot Nick Klein at Joe Kropschot: Nick Klein Moneyline Long-shot38% chance +265
Farman Hasanov v Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniFarman Hasanov v Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani Farman Hasanov at Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: Under Total Rounds 2.5 Lean47% chance -141
Cody Durden v Ode' OsbourneCody Durden v Ode' Osbourne Cody Durden at Ode' Osbourne: Over Total Rounds 1.5 Lean48% chance -164
Rodrigo Sezinando v Theodor BerggrenRodrigo Sezinando v Theodor Berggren Rodrigo Sezinando at Theodor Berggren: Theodor Berggren Moneyline Lean41% chance +150
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
10 more picks on the card
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UFC • Lucia Szabová vs. Tainara Lisboa 2026-10-31 00:00 •
Lucia Szabová Away
vs.
Home Tainara Lisboa
Show Picks
Lucia Szabová at Tainara Lisboa: Over Total Rounds 2.5
Chance to win 50.3%
The price says 48.3%
Best price +107

Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabová: Over 2.5 total rounds (+107)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tainara Lisboa fights Lucia Szabová on the UFC card on Saturday 31 October 2026. This one lands if the fight is still going after 2.5 rounds. It was priced at +107 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. The bet we are looking at is Over 2.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UFC • Zach Reese vs. Mickey Gall 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Zach Reese Away
vs.
Home Mickey Gall
Show Picks
Zach Reese at Mickey Gall: Over Total Rounds 1.5
Chance to win 45.9%
The price says 35.1%
Best price +185

Mickey Gall vs Zach Reese: Over 1.5 total rounds (+185)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Mickey Gall fights Zach Reese on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This one lands if the fight is still going after 1.5 rounds. It was priced at +185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.50 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Over 1.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Zach Reese at Mickey Gall · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Tom Nolan vs. Renato Moicano 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Tom Nolan Away
vs.
Home Renato Moicano
Show Picks
Tom Nolan at Renato Moicano: Tom Nolan Moneyline
Chance to win 49.2%
The price says 51.3%
Best price -105

Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan: Tom Nolan to win the fight (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Renato Moicano fights Tom Nolan on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Tom Nolan gets the win. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. The bet we are looking at is Tom Nolan to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tom Nolan at Renato Moicano · Total Rounds 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • JeongYeong Lee vs. Julian Erosa 2026-11-01 00:00 •
JeongYeong Lee Away
vs.
Home Julian Erosa
Show Picks
JeongYeong Lee at Julian Erosa: Over Total Rounds 1.5
Chance to win 46.5%
The price says 46.3%
Best price +116

Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee: Over 1.5 total rounds (+116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Julian Erosa fights JeongYeong Lee on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This one lands if the fight is still going after 1.5 rounds. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Over 1.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

JeongYeong Lee at Julian Erosa · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Jacobe Smith vs. Randy Brown 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Jacobe Smith Away
vs.
Home Randy Brown
Show Picks
Jacobe Smith at Randy Brown: Over Total Rounds 1.5
Chance to win 45.9%
The price says 46.3%
Best price +116

Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith: Over 1.5 total rounds (+116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Randy Brown fights Jacobe Smith on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This one lands if the fight is still going after 1.5 rounds. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Over 1.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jacobe Smith at Randy Brown · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Francis Marshall Away
vs.
Home Dakota Hope
Show Picks
Francis Marshall at Dakota Hope: Under Total Rounds 2.5
Chance to win 44.3%
The price says 42.4%
Best price +136

Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall: Under 2.5 total rounds (+136)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Dakota Hope fights Francis Marshall on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This one lands if the fight is finished inside 2.5 rounds. It was priced at +136 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.60 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Under 2.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Francis Marshall at Dakota Hope · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Luana Santos vs. Yana Santos 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Luana Santos Away
vs.
Home Yana Santos
Show Picks
Luana Santos at Yana Santos: Under Total Rounds 2.5
Chance to win 38.0%
The price says 26.0%
Best price +284

Yana Santos vs Luana Santos: Under 2.5 total rounds (+284)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Yana Santos fights Luana Santos on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This one lands if the fight is finished inside 2.5 rounds. It was priced at +284 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $38.40 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Under 2.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luana Santos at Yana Santos · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Talita Alencar vs. Piera Rodriguez 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Talita Alencar Away
vs.
Home Piera Rodriguez
Show Picks
Talita Alencar at Piera Rodriguez: Under Total Rounds 2.5
Chance to win 38.7%
The price says 30.1%
Best price +232

Piera Rodriguez vs Talita Alencar: Under 2.5 total rounds (+232)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Piera Rodriguez fights Talita Alencar on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This one lands if the fight is finished inside 2.5 rounds. It was priced at +232 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $33.20 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Under 2.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Talita Alencar at Piera Rodriguez · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Nick Klein vs. Joe Kropschot 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Nick Klein Away
vs.
Home Joe Kropschot
Show Picks
Nick Klein at Joe Kropschot: Nick Klein Moneyline
Chance to win 37.6%
The price says 27.4%
Best price +265

Joe Kropschot vs Nick Klein: Nick Klein to win the fight (+265)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Joe Kropschot fights Nick Klein on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Nick Klein gets the win. It was priced at +265 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $36.50 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Nick Klein to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nick Klein at Joe Kropschot · Total Rounds 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Farman Hasanov vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Farman Hasanov Away
vs.
Home Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Show Picks
Farman Hasanov at Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: Under Total Rounds 2.5
Chance to win 47.2%
The price says 58.5%
Best price -141

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov: Under 2.5 total rounds (-141)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani fights Farman Hasanov on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This one lands if the fight is finished inside 2.5 rounds. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.10 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Under 2.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Farman Hasanov at Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Cody Durden vs. Ode' Osbourne 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Cody Durden Away
vs.
Home Ode' Osbourne
Show Picks
Cody Durden at Ode' Osbourne: Over Total Rounds 1.5
Chance to win 48.1%
The price says 62.1%
Best price -164

Ode' Osbourne vs Cody Durden: Over 1.5 total rounds (-164)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Ode' Osbourne fights Cody Durden on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This one lands if the fight is still going after 1.5 rounds. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Over 1.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cody Durden at Ode' Osbourne · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Theodor Berggren 2026-11-01 00:00 •
Rodrigo Sezinando Away
vs.
Home Theodor Berggren
Show Picks
Rodrigo Sezinando at Theodor Berggren: Theodor Berggren Moneyline
Chance to win 41.0%
The price says 40.0%
Best price +150

Theodor Berggren vs Rodrigo Sezinando: Theodor Berggren to win the fight (+150)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Theodor Berggren fights Rodrigo Sezinando on the UFC card on Sunday 1 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Theodor Berggren gets the win. It was priced at +150 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Theodor Berggren to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Quick answer

What are UFC picks?

UFC picks are model-generated predictions for UFC betting markets including moneyline (winner), method of victory, total rounds and fight props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming UFC game with predictions across all major markets. Expand any game to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

UFC pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
Moneyline Which fighter wins the bout outright, by any method. Simple single bet or a low-risk multi leg.
Method of Victory How a fighter wins — KO/TKO, Submission or Decision. Clear stylistic mismatches where the finish is predictable.
Total Rounds Over or under a set number of rounds. Finishing rates, durability, cardio and pace trends.
Fight Props Go the distance, round betting and method combinations. Exploit style edges, finishing tendencies or recent form streaks.

How to read UFC picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a game. Games are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that matchup.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated UFC picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Checked every day

Our model checks every UFC game on the board each day and gives each pick its chance to win, logged before it starts.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

UFC Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are UFC picks?

UFC picks are our model's call on which side to back in a UFC fight. The model reads past results and the current bookmaker prices, then names the side it rates best and says why in plain words.

What is the difference between UFC picks and UFC best bets?

This page is the full list, and best bets is the short list. Picks cover every UFC fight on the card across every market, while best bets keeps only the ones the model rates strongest that day.

What types of UFC picks are available?

We post UFC picks on who wins the fight, how the fight ends, and whether it goes the distance. Game and player markets sit together inside each match, with the strongest pick at the top.

How often are UFC picks updated?

They refresh through the day, and again whenever team news or the bookmaker prices move. Later prices carry more information, so the list you see close to start time is the one to trust.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick is named when our model rates a side better than the bookmaker's price says. The wider that gap, the higher the confidence we show, and confidence is a lean over a long run of bets, never a promise on one game.

Can I use UFC picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes, any pick on this page can be a leg in a multi. Each extra leg makes the whole bet harder to land, so two or three strong legs beat a long list. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the UFC Multis page.

Does Bet Better guarantee UFC picks will win?

No, and nobody can. UFC picks are our best read of what is likely, and good picks still lose, so only ever stake money you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

What time do UFC picks come out?

As soon as the day's fights and prices are up. The list is rebuilt several times a day, and again close to start time when team news and prices move, so the version you see nearest kick-off is the one to read. Fight cards are mostly weekly, so the page fills up in the days before an event.

Do you pick every UFC fight?

No. We only name a side when our model likes it more than the price suggests. Some fights get nothing at all, and that is on purpose - a quiet day here means there was nothing worth backing, not that something is broken.

What does HIGH confidence mean?

We say it in words, not numbers. HIGH means our model likes the pick the most. LEAN means it likes it, but less. LONG-SHOT means a big price that wins less often and pays more when it lands. Confidence is how it should go over a long run of bets, never a promise on one fight.

Do I have to pay to see the UFC picks?

The first pick in every fight is free to read, with no signup. The rest unlock with a subscription. Either way every pick we publish is graded in public, wins and losses, on our results page.

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