Are these hit rates predictions?

No. These are actual realized results from recent games — how often each line has cashed. They are research to inform your own judgement, not a forecast, and past results do not guarantee future ones.

AFL Prop Hit Rates & Streaks

Q: What is a prop hit rate?

A prop hit rate is how often a player has actually gone over (or under) a given line over a recent stretch — for example, hitting over 1.5 in 4 of their last 5 games is an 80% last-5 hit rate. It is a factual count of past outcomes, not a prediction.

Q: How do I use hit rates to bet props?

Look for lines a player has hit consistently (a high last-5 and last-10 with a matching home/away split and an active streak), then confirm the price is fair with our Value Finder and check the player is active before you bet.

Actual recent hit rates for today's AFL player props — how often each line has cashed over the last 5 and 10 games, home/away splits and current streaks. Facts, not predictions. Search any player.

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Player	Line	Last 5	Last 10	Last 20	Streak
Harrison Petty Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 1.5 Goals	5/5	8/10	9/20	W8
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	9/12	W8
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	9/12	W8
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	14/20	W8
Jack Viney Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	16/20	W7
Jack Viney Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	13/20	W7
Harvey Langford Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	16/20	W7
Brodie Kemp Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	5/5	8/10	15/20	W7
George Hewett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	18/20	W7
George Hewett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	17/20	W7
George Hewett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 24.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	16/20	W7
Cooper Lord Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	10/16	W6
Cooper Lord Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	9/16	W6
Billy Wilson Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	7/10	W6
Blake Acres Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	17/20	W6
Marc Pittonet Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	14/20	W6
Koltyn Tholstrup Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	15/20	W6
Max Gawn Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	15/20	W6
Max Gawn Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	14/20	W6
Mitch McGovern Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	13/20	W5
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	12/20	W5
Sam Walsh Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 25.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	14/20	W5
Trent Rivers Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	15/20	W5
Trent Rivers Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	15/20	W5
Lachlan Cowan Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	5/5	8/10	12/20	W5
Francis Evans Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	5/5	8/10	13/20	W5
Francis Evans Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W4
Francis Evans Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W4
Cooper Lord Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 19.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	14/16	W4
Ed Langdon Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	13/20	W4
Ed Langdon Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	14/20	W4
Ed Langdon Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	13/20	W4
Marc Pittonet Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W4
Marc Pittonet Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	14/20	W4
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W4
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W4
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W4
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W4
Harry McKay Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W4
Jacob Weitering Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	18/20	W4
Jacob Weitering Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	17/20	W4
Mitch McGovern Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W4
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 25.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	12/20	W3
Sam Walsh Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 24.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	13/20	W3
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W3
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W3
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W3
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 25.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	12/20	W3
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	14/20	W3
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	13/20	W3
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	8/20	W3
Daniel Turner Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W3
Caleb Windsor Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	17/20	W3
Caleb Windsor Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	17/20	W3
Caleb Windsor Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	17/20	W3
Caleb Windsor Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W3
Adam Cerra Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	17/20	W2
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	18/20	W2
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	17/20	W2
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	9/20	W2
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	9/20	W2
Max Gawn Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	18/20	W2
Kade Chandler Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	18/20	W2
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	8/12	W2
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	8/12	W2
Harry Sharp Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W2
Harry Sharp Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	9/20	W2
Jack Steele Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	18/20	W2
Jack Steele Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	18/20	W2
Jack Steele Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	17/20	W2
Jack Steele Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W2
Nick Haynes Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	18/20	W2
Nick Haynes Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W2
Nick Haynes Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W2
Nick Haynes Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	14/20	W2
Oliver Hollands Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	18/20	W1
Oliver Hollands Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	16/20	W1
Harvey Langford Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	3/5	8/10	14/20	W1
Jake Bowey Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W1
Jake Bowey Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W1
Jake Bowey Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W1
Jake Bowey Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W1
Jake Bowey Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W1
Jake Bowey Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	14/20	W1
Bayley Fritsch Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	13/20	W1
Bayley Fritsch Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	W1
Daniel Turner Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	W1
Daniel Turner Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	14/20	W1
Daniel Turner Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	13/20	W1
Cooper Lord Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	7/16	W1
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	13/20	W1
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	13/20	W1
Ed Langdon Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	17/20	—
Ed Langdon Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	16/20	—
Ed Langdon Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	16/20	—
Ed Langdon Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	16/20	—
Oliver Hollands Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	14/20	—
Oliver Hollands Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	13/20	—
Oliver Hollands Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	13/20	—
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	7/20	—
Tom McDonald Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	18/20	—
Tom McDonald Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	18/20	—
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	3/5	8/10	17/20	—
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	16/20	—
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	—
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	15/20	—
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	9/20	—
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	9/20	—
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	4/5	8/10	7/20	—
George Hewett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	16/20	W7
George Hewett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	16/20	W7
Cooper Lord Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	8/16	W6
Bailey Laurie Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	5/5	7/10	9/20	W6
Billy Wilson Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	6/10	W6
Jack Viney Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	12/20	W6
Koltyn Tholstrup Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	8/20	W6
Koltyn Tholstrup Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	7/20	W6
Koltyn Tholstrup Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	6/20	W6
Koltyn Tholstrup Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	5/20	W6
Koltyn Tholstrup Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	5/20	W6
Koltyn Tholstrup Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	5/20	W6
Max Gawn Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	13/20	W6
Max Gawn Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	13/20	W6
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	14/20	W6
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	8/20	W6
Mitch McGovern Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	14/20	W5
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	13/20	W5
Adam Cerra Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	14/20	W5
Adam Cerra Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	5/5	7/10	12/20	W5
Bayley Fritsch Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	5/5	7/10	15/20	W5
Bayley Fritsch Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 1.5 Goals	5/5	7/10	12/20	W5
Billy Wilson Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	7/10	W4
Francis Evans Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	13/20	W4
Francis Evans Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	12/20	W4
George Hewett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 25.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	13/20	W4
George Hewett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 25.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	13/20	W4
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	7/20	W3
Caleb Windsor Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	13/20	W3
Koltyn Tholstrup Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	11/20	W3
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	7/20	W3
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	6/20	W3
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	11/20	W3
Kade Chandler Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	3/5	7/10	13/20	W3
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	11/20	W3
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	11/20	W3
Jacob Weitering Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	14/20	W3
Harvey Langford Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	14/20	W3
Trent Rivers Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	14/20	W3
Trent Rivers Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	13/20	W3
Trent Rivers Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	14/20	W3
Sam Walsh Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 26.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	13/20	W2
Harry Sharp Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	8/20	W2
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	8/12	W2
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 24.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	7/12	W2
Kade Chandler Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	15/20	W2
Blake Acres Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	15/20	W2
Blake Acres Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	14/20	W2
Blake Acres Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	13/20	W2
Harry Dean Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	12/20	W2
Harry Dean Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	7/10	12/20	W2
Daniel Turner Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	9/20	W1
Brodie Kemp Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	13/20	W1
Adam Cerra Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 21.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	13/20	W1
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 26.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	9/20	W1
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 27.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	9/20	W1
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 28.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	8/20	W1
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 24.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	14/20	—
Tom McDonald Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	17/20	—
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	4/5	7/10	13/20	—
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 13.5 Disposals	3/5	7/10	15/20	—
Harry Sharp Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	3/5	7/10	13/20	—
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	5/5	6/10	7/20	W6
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	5/5	6/10	6/20	W6
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 23.5 Disposals	5/5	6/10	5/20	W6
Harrison Petty Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	5/5	6/10	10/20	W5
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	5/5	6/10	10/20	W5
Harry McKay Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 1.5 Goals	4/5	6/10	8/20	W4
Jack Viney Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 21.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Jacob Weitering Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Max Gawn Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Billy Wilson Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	6/10	W3
Max Gawn Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 22.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Tom Sparrow Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W3
Xavier Lindsay Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	7/11	W3
Xavier Lindsay Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	6/11	W3
Xavier Lindsay Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	6/11	W3
Nick Haynes Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	11/20	W2
Nick Haynes Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	11/20	W2
Sam Walsh Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 27.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	12/20	W2
Sam Walsh Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 28.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	7/20	W2
Sam Walsh Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 29.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	8/20	W2
Sam Walsh Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 30.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	7/20	W2
Sam Walsh Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 28.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	7/20	W2
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 16.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	6/20	W2
Adam Cerra Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	12/20	W2
Bailey Laurie Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	5/11	W2
Bailey Laurie Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	5/11	W2
Bailey Laurie Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	5/11	W2
Harrison Petty Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	7/20	W2
Harrison Petty Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	5/20	W2
Harrison Petty Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W2
Francis Evans Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 13.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	8/20	W2
Francis Evans Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	8/20	W2
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 25.5 Disposals	2/5	6/10	7/12	W2
Harvey Langford Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 15.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	9/20	W2
Harry Sharp Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	7/20	W2
Harry McKay Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	2/5	6/10	15/20	W1
Harry McKay Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	2/5	6/10	15/20	W1
Harry McKay Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	2/5	6/10	14/20	W1
Jack Steele Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 22.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W1
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 25.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	8/20	W1
Jagga Smith Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 25.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	8/20	W1
Jake Bowey Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 24.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	8/20	W1
Lachlan Cowan Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W1
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	4/5	6/10	16/20	W1
Lachlan Cowan Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W1
Lewis Young Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	13/20	W1
Kysaiah Pickett Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 24.5 Disposals	2/5	6/10	8/20	W1
Daniel Turner Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 14.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	13/20	W1
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 11.5 Disposals	4/5	6/10	11/20	W1
Bayley Fritsch Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W1
Bayley Fritsch Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W1
Brodie Kemp Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W1
Patrick Cripps Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 29.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	W1
Oliver Hollands Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 18.5 Disposals	2/5	6/10	10/20	—
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 24.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	16/20	—
Mitch McGovern Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 1.5 Goals	2/5	6/10	8/20	—
Talor Byrne Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 9.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	6/18	—
Talor Byrne Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 10.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	6/18	—
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 17.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	—
Harry Dean Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	9/20	—
Kade Chandler Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 15.5 Disposals	3/5	6/10	12/20	—
Jake Melksham Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 0.5 Goals	2/5	6/10	15/20	—
Max Gawn Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 22.5 Disposals	2/5	6/10	14/20	—
Matthew Cottrell Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Under 15.5 Disposals	2/5	6/10	15/20	—
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 24.5 Disposals	5/5	5/10	9/20	W5
Oliver Florent Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 24.5 Disposals	5/5	5/10	9/20	W5
Marc Pittonet Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 12.5 Disposals	3/5	5/10	9/20	W3
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 14.5 Disposals	3/5	5/10	6/20	W3
Changkuoth Jiath Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 15.5 Disposals	3/5	5/10	6/20	W3
Billy Wilson Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	3/5	5/10	8/19	W3
Billy Wilson Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 19.5 Disposals	3/5	5/10	8/19	W3
Billy Wilson Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 20.5 Disposals	3/5	5/10	8/19	W3
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	3/5	5/10	5/20	W2
Ben Ainsworth Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 17.5 Disposals	3/5	5/10	5/20	W2
Francis Evans Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons	Over 1.5 Goals	3/5	5/10	5/20	W2

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Prop hit rates — common questions

What is a prop hit rate?

How often a player has actually gone over (or under) a line over a recent stretch — e.g. hitting over 1.5 in 4 of their last 5 games is an 80% last-5 hit rate. It's a factual count of past outcomes, not a prediction.

Are these predictions?

No. These are actual realized results from recent games — how often each line cashed. They're research to inform your judgement, not a forecast; past results don't guarantee future ones.

How do I use them?

Look for lines a player hits consistently (a strong last-5 and last-10 with a matching home/away split and an active streak), then confirm the price is fair with the Value Finder and that the player is active before you bet.

These are actual recent hit rates — factual counts of how often each line has cashed, not model predictions. Small samples are noisy and past results don't guarantee future ones; use them as research, pair with a fair price and confirm availability. 18+. Gamble responsibly.

More free tools: Today's Picks · Value Finder · Is X Playing · Line Shopping · Live Scores · Model Scorecard · Betting Answers

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Every pick here was logged before tip-off and graded in public — win or loss. Today's board shows the ones the model is most confident are mispriced.

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Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

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