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Model picks & player props
Brisbane Lions
VS
Adelaide Crows

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 10:11AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Outdoor
Fri 6 Jun 2025, 9:40AM
0
Game markets graded
16
Props graded
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 14 bookmakers compared
Winner
Adelaide Crows3.70+270Betfair Exchange
Brisbane Lions1.36-278Betfair Exchange
Market backing Brisbane Lions: 1.46 → 1.38 (12 books)

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows odds by bookmaker

14 books · best price in green
BookAdelaide Crows winBrisbane Lions win
Betfair Exchange3.70+2701.36-278
Betr3.50+2501.31-323
BetRight3.40+2401.32-312
Dabble3.40+2401.30-333
Kalshi3.57+2571.35-285
Ladbrokes3.35+2351.33-303
Neds3.35+2351.33-303
PlayUp3.60+2601.29-345
PointsBet3.45+2451.30-333
Polymarket3.64+2641.38-264
Sportsbet3.44+2441.32-312
TAB3.50+2501.30-333
TABtouch3.55+2551.30-333
Unibet3.40+2401.30-333

Since the market opened: Brisbane Lions to win opened 1.36, best now 1.38 (decimal, best book).

Market backing Brisbane Lions: 1.46 → 1.38 (12 books)

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Lions

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Crows

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Taylor Walker Adelaide Crows Goals
Cam Rayner Brisbane Lions Goals
Charlie Cameron Brisbane Lions Goals
Ben Keays Adelaide Crows Goals
Izak Rankine Adelaide Crows Goals

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Brisbane Lions @ Adelaide Crows — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Brisbane Lions at Adelaide Crows — 0 on the game itself and 16 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 15 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows — recent results

Adelaide Crows have won 4 of their last 5 games; Brisbane Lions have won 3 of their last 5.

Adelaide Crows — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W90–68WBHome
W157–101GWSHome
L88–112FREAway
W63–54RICHHome
W145–73ESSAway
Brisbane Lions — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L88–141SYDAway
W159–96COLLAway
W95–53SUNSHome
W125–58HAWHome
L78–154CARLAway

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Adelaide Crows won 0, Brisbane Lions won 1.

DateAdelaide CrowsBrisbane LionsWinner
Apr 2675127Brisbane Lions

Brisbane Lions @ Adelaide Crows — model preview

Deep dive into Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Logan Morris. Check out AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions stats and odds.

Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Logan Morris is a strong candidate to score anytime in the Adelaide vs. Brisbane matchup based on his recent performance data. With an average of 2 goals in his last 5 away games and a 60% goal accuracy, Morris has shown consistency in front of goal. Additionally, his involvement in scoring opportunities, averaging 4 score involvements per game, indicates his active presence in the attacking plays. Against the upcoming opponent, Adelaide Crows, Morris has maintained a goal average of 2 in his last 5 encounters. Considering his impressive form and historical performance against Adelaide, the bet on Logan Morris to score anytime presents a favorable opportunity for this game.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Lions vs Crows, or as Crows vs Lions. The most recent game between them was Friday 6 June 2025 at Adelaide Oval. The model has generated 16 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Brisbane Lions 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
26 Apr 2026Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions127–75Brisbane Lions

Playing fantasy? AFL fantasy projections for this round — the same model, scored your way.

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