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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Charlie Cameron is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 87%, edge +4.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 7:46PM UTC
AFL

Charlie Cameron

Brisbane Lions

+4.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -667 (1.15) · $100→$115
+4.2% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Fri 7 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
1.6 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.2% · the book's price implies 87.0% · gap +4.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals91.2%87.0%1.10+4.2%

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AI Analysis

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Charlie Cameron (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a player who knows how to light up the scoreboard, Charlie Cameron stands out like a shining star under the Gabba lights. Over his last five home games, Cameron has been an offensive force, averaging an impressive 2.4 goals per game with a sharp 56.3% goal accuracy. Facing off against the Hawthorn Hawks, a team he's recently bagged an average of 2 goals against, the stage is set for Cameron to continue his scoring spree. With a current hit streak of 7 at home and a flawless 16-goal streak overall, Cameron is not only in red-hot form but also consistent in finding the big sticks. The stats don't lie - Cameron's goal-scoring prowess makes betting on him to snag over 0.5 goals a tantalizing proposition for punters looking to cash in on his scoring touch.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Season averages (2024)

Charlie Cameron averaged 10.7 disposals, 1.6 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 27 games in 2024.

10.7
Disposals
1.6
Goals
4.0
Marks
2.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Charlie Cameron recorded 14 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans14162
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats12263
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS11221
7 Sep 24Carlton9244
24 Aug 24Essendon14331
17 Aug 24Collingwood12120
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17183
4 Aug 24St Kilda8223
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS8230
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans9140
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Charlie Cameron (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Charlie Cameron is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.2% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions on Friday 7 August at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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