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Model picks & player props
Washington Mystics
VS
Las Vegas Aces

Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 19, 11:56AM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces and backs Over 168.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $193.

WNBA
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas
Indoor
Fri 14 Aug 2026, 2:00AM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 168.5 Total Points -108

The model graded 70 markets for Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 14 Aug 2026, 2:00AM at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.9%
The price says50.0%
Best price-108
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 168.5 High66% chance -108
Total Points Members only High64% chance Members
Alt Total Points Members only High65% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean59% chance Members
Alt Spread Members only High60% chance Members
Points × 6 props Highup to 83% Members
Pts+Ast × 5 props Highup to 85% Members
Pts+Reb × 5 props Highup to 85% Members
Rebounds × 8 props Highup to 79% Members
Pts+Reb+Ast × 4 props Highup to 78% Members
Pts+Reb (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 76% Members
Reb+Ast × 4 props Highup to 75% Members
Assists (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 79% Members
Points (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 79% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Washington Mystics and Las Vegas Aces last met on Fri 14 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every WNBA game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Kiki Iriafen Under 24.5 · $100 returned $227

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,845 of 2,491 right (wnba totals unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 18
Under 174.5
Los Angeles Sparks @ Dallas Wings
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $221
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
168.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington MysticsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington MysticsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington MysticsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington MysticsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington MysticsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington MysticsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Mystics

  • Sonia Citron GOut

Las Vegas Aces

  • NaLyssa Smith FOut
Availability updated Sep 16, 9:27PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Sonia Citron and NaLyssa Smith.
FactorThis fixture
Availability2 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Sonia Citron WSH Points
Sonia Citron WSH Pts+Ast
Sonia Citron WSH Pts+Reb
NaLyssa Smith LV Rebounds
Sonia Citron WSH Pts+Reb+Ast

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Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces — recent results

Las Vegas Aces have won 4 of their last 5 games; Washington Mystics have won 4 of their last 5.

Las Vegas Aces — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W114–77SEAAway
W93–73TORHome
W88–78TORAway
W101–78CONHome
L82–97ATLHome
Washington Mystics — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W110–80CHIAway
L82–88LAAway
W80–73PHXAway
W94–84PHXAway
W105–100PORAway

Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Las Vegas Aces won 2, Washington Mystics won 1.

DateLas Vegas AcesWashington MysticsWinner
Aug 148376Las Vegas Aces
Aug 128676Las Vegas Aces
Jul 2299100Washington Mystics

Who’s out or in doubt

2 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Aces
PlayerStatus
NaLyssa Smith FOUT
Washington Mystics
PlayerStatus
Sonia Citron GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces — model preview

Las Vegas Aces v Washington Mystics, 14 August 2026. Top of the list: Over 151.5 Total Points. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.

On Friday 14 August 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 151.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 151.5 Total Points (-769)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Las Vegas Aces play Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Friday 14 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over 151.5 Total Points. That is a total points bet. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
14 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 155.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Spread Washington Mystics +8 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Alt Spread Washington Mystics +12.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Spread Washington Mystics +7.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Alt Spread Washington Mystics +10.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 156.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Alt Spread Washington Mystics +8.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Alt Spread Washington Mystics +14.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 157 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Alt Spread Washington Mystics +11.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Mystics vs Aces, or as Aces vs Mystics. The most recent game between them was Friday 14 August 2026 at Michelob Ultra Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Las Vegas Aces 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Aug 2026Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces83–76Las Vegas Aces
12 Aug 2026Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces86–76Las Vegas Aces
22 Jul 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Washington Mystics100–99Washington Mystics
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