Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for NaLyssa Smith is Under 17.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +16.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 9:31PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Reb
Under 17.5
-123 (1.81) · $100→$181
+16.2% Edge
Washington Mystics
@
Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Wed 12 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 379 of 480 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Implied Probability
55.2%
Predicted Value
14.6 Pts+Reb
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pts+Reb | 71.4% | — | 55.2% | 1.95 | +16.2% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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NaLyssa Smith Under 17.5 Points and Rebounds Combined (-123)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing Las Vegas Aces play Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Wednesday 12 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is NaLyssa Smith Under 17.5 Points and Rebounds Combined. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.10 if it lands. The game is at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. Our model expects NaLyssa Smith to finish with about 14.6 points and rebounds combined. The line for this one is 17.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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NaLyssa Smith is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for NaLyssa Smith is Under 17.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.2% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces on Wednesday 12 August at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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