Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for NaLyssa Smith is Over 8.5 on Rebounds (Alt).
On Rebounds (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 68%, implied 33%, edge +34.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 6, 10:15PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds (Alt)
Over 8.5
+200 (3.00) · $100→$300
+34.4% Edge
Las Vegas Aces
@
Toronto Tempo
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,718 of 2,295 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Aces announced Thursday that Smith will be sidelined for the rest of the season after suffering a non-contact left leg injury during Sunday's game versus the Tempo, per Chelsea Leite of TSN.
updated Aug 27, 7:29PM UTC · 10d old
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How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
9.6 Rebounds (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 67.7% · the book's price implies 33.3% · gap +34.4%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rebounds (Alt) | 67.7% | — | 33.3% | 1.48 | +34.4% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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NaLyssa Smith Over 8.5 Rebounds (+200)
Odds available at fanatics at time of publishing Toronto Tempo play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Monday 24 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is NaLyssa Smith Over 8.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at +200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30 if it lands. Our model expects NaLyssa Smith to finish with about 9.6 rebounds. The line for this one is 8.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small.
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NaLyssa Smith is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for NaLyssa Smith is Over 8.5 on Rebounds (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +34.4% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Aces vs Toronto Tempo on Sunday 23 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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