Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sonia Citron is Over 4.5 on Assists (Alt).
On Assists (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 3, 1:47AM UTC
WNBA
Sonia Citron
WNBA
Sonia Citron has one live pick today: Assists (Alt) Over 4.5 that pays $202 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Assists (Alt)
Over 4.5
+102 (2.02) · $100→$202
Value call
Atlanta Dream
@
Washington Mystics
CareFirst Arena, Washington · Indoor
Wed 30 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,499 of 3,326 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
5.8 Assists (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 71.4% · the book's price implies 49.5% · gap +21.9%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Assists (Alt) | 71.4% | — | 49.5% | 1.40 | +21.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/3 |
| Last 10 games | 2/3 |
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Sonia Citron Over 4.5 Assists (+102)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing Washington Mystics play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Thursday 1 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sonia Citron Over 4.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. The game is at CareFirst Arena in Washington. Our model expects Sonia Citron to finish with about 5.8 assists. The line for this one is 4.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance.
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Sonia Citron is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sonia Citron is Over 4.5 on Assists (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.9% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics on Wednesday 30 September at CareFirst Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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