On Friday 18 September 2026, Dallas Wings play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 177.5 Total Points, priced at -105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 177.5 Total Points (-105)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have won 5 of their last 10 games, showing they can compete well. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Sparks have struggled a bit, winning only 3 of their last 10. Both teams have allowed a decent number of three-point attempts per game, but the Wings have been slightly better at keeping their opponents from scoring too much. The combined score is expected to be around 170.2 points, which is lower than the 177.5 total set for this game. One risk is that both teams have moments where they can score quickly, but with the way they've been playing lately, going under 177.5 points seems like a solid pick. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Los Angeles Sparks +10.5 on the Line (-130)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
At the College Park Center, the Dallas Wings have won 5 of their last 10 games, while the Los Angeles Sparks have only won 3. The Sparks tend to let opponents shoot a lot of three-pointers, but the Wings also allow their fair share. While Dallas is favored, our numbers show this matchup is pretty even, with the final margin expected to be around 8 points. A concrete risk here is that the Wings have home advantage, which can be tough for visiting teams. Still, 10.5 points is a lot, making Sparks a decent pick to cover. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dearica Hamby Under 7.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Dearica Hamby has been a solid player, but lately, her numbers have been a bit shaky. The Dallas Wings have won 5 of their last 10 games, showing they can compete, but they also allow a fair number of rebounds. With the Sparks giving up even more boards, this matchup could be tight, putting some pressure on Hamby to perform.
Betting on Hamby to get under 7.5 rebounds and assists feels reasonable. The Sparks let teams take a lot of three-point shots, but they struggle with rebounds, which could limit Hamby's opportunities. The risk is that both teams are closely matched, and a strong performance from Hamby could make this bet a gamble. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rae Burrell Over 14.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The bet on Rae Burrell to score over 14.5 points offers a fair chance at winning given the current odds. Our data shows Burrell has recently been struggling with her scoring, averaging just under the typical mark for points, but she's also shown flashes of being a strong scorer. The Dallas Wings and Los Angeles Sparks matchup is pretty tight, and with both teams having their ups and downs, Burrell could find the opportunity to step up. One big concern is her recent performance, as she has been scoring less than usual and has also been turning the ball over more often than her average. However, if she can find her rhythm and get some good looks, she has the potential to exceed 14.5 points. Keep an eye on how both teams play, as this could go either way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Awak Kuier Under 8.5 Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings are hosting the Los Angeles Sparks at College Park Center, and this matchup looks tight. Both teams have struggled lately, with Dallas winning 5 of their last 10 games and the Sparks only winning 3. The Wings have been pretty solid at limiting rebounds and assists, allowing slightly fewer rebounds and assists than the Sparks do. This could play to Awak Kuier's advantage, especially since she has been more of a role player lately. Awak Kuier might find it tough to hit over 8.5 combined rebounds and assists given the stats. The Sparks give up a good amount of rebounds, but the Wings do a decent job of defending against assists. With both teams closely matched, there's a solid chance this bet could go either way, so it might be a close call for Kuier to go over the mark. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.