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Model picks & player props
Phoenix Mercury
VS
Dallas Wings

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 18, 8:23PM UTC

Our model graded 20 markets for Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings and backs Under 174.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $180.

WNBA
College Park Center, Dallas
Indoor
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 174.5 Alt Total Points -125

The model graded 20 markets for Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $180 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 5:00PM at College Park Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.2%
The price says53.2%
Best price-125
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 174.5 High70% chance -125
Alt Total Points Members only High71% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every WNBA game on today's board →
How they've been scoring this season
Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings
Won-lost13-2623-16
Points scored per game83.888.5
Points allowed per game87.884.9
On the road / at home7-12 away14-6 at home
Last 5 gamesLLLLWLWWWW
Their games average 172.5 total points this season.
From the 39 Phoenix Mercury and 39 Dallas Wings games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 18 bookmakers compared
Winner
Mercury4.00+300Kalshi
Dallas Wings1.31-323DraftKings
Total points

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings odds by bookmaker

18 books · best price in green
BookMercury winDallas Wings winDallas Wings -8.5Over 172.5Under 172.5
Polymarket4.35+3351.30-3342.02+1021.96-1042.04+104
Bally Bet3.90+2901.26-385———
Betfair Exchange3.50+2501.25-400———
betPARX3.90+2901.26-385———
Betr3.70+2701.28-357———
BetRight3.70+2701.28-357———
BetRivers3.90+2901.26-385———
DraftKings3.60+2601.31-323———
ESPN BET3.80+2801.29-345———
Fanatics3.65+2651.29-345———
FanDuel3.70+2701.28-357———
Hard Rock Bet3.60+2601.29-345———
Kalshi4.00+3001.30-334———
ReBet3.60+2601.28-357———

Since the market opened: Dallas Wings to win opened 1.26, best now 1.31; the over 172.5 opened 1.90, best now 1.96 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,802 of 2,448 right (wnba totals unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 18
Under 174.5
Los Angeles Sparks @ Dallas Wings
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $221
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
188
-526
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Phoenix Mercury

  • Kahleah Copper GOut
  • Kelsey Plum GOut
  • Jovana Nogic GOut

Dallas Wings

  • Odyssey Sims GOut
  • Alanna Smith FOut
  • Azzi Fudd GOut
  • Costanza Verona GOut
Availability updated Sep 18, 1:49AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings — recent results

Dallas Wings have won 4 of their last 5 games; Phoenix Mercury have won 1 of their last 5.

Dallas Wings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W97–71CONHome
W96–78PORHome
W92–70SEAHome
W91–85INDHome
L70–78GSAway
Phoenix Mercury — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W101–69TORHome
L73–80WSHHome
L84–94WSHHome
L89–99ATLHome
L85–88PORHome

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Dallas Wings won 1, Phoenix Mercury won 0.

DateDallas WingsPhoenix MercuryWinner
Jun 128570Dallas Wings

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Wings
PlayerStatus
Odyssey Sims GOUT
Alanna Smith FOUT
Azzi Fudd GOUT
Costanza Verona GOUT
Phoenix Mercury
PlayerStatus
Kahleah Copper GOUT
Kelsey Plum GOUT
Jovana Nogic GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Mercury vs Wings, or as Wings vs Mercury. The next scheduled game is Saturday 19 September 2026 at College Park Center. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Dallas Wings 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Jun 2026Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings85–70Dallas Wings

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